Recent numerical weather prediction runs show central China under stable high pressure with light winds and moderate humidity, producing trader consensus around a 22–24°C minimum for Wuhan on September 1. Ensemble spreads from CMA and ECMWF models cluster in this narrow band due to limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology for the region centers near 23°C, underscoring why outcomes at 20°C and 25°C carry slightly lower implied probabilities. Fresh model updates expected within 24 hours will likely tighten or widen these ranges ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wuhan le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Wuhan le 1er septembre ?
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
22°C 26%
20°C 25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
18°C or below
7%
19°C
8%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
25%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
22°C 26%
20°C 25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
18°C or below
$250 Vol.
7%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs show central China under stable high pressure with light winds and moderate humidity, producing trader consensus around a 22–24°C minimum for Wuhan on September 1. Ensemble spreads from CMA and ECMWF models cluster in this narrow band due to limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology for the region centers near 23°C, underscoring why outcomes at 20°C and 25°C carry slightly lower implied probabilities. Fresh model updates expected within 24 hours will likely tighten or widen these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$250Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs show central China under stable high pressure with light winds and moderate humidity, producing trader consensus around a 22–24°C minimum for Wuhan on September 1. Ensemble spreads from CMA and ECMWF models cluster in this narrow band due to limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology for the region centers near 23°C, underscoring why outcomes at 20°C and 25°C carry slightly lower implied probabilities. Fresh model updates expected within 24 hours will likely tighten or widen these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$250Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs show central China under stable high pressure with light winds and moderate humidity, producing trader consensus around a 22–24°C minimum for Wuhan on September 1. Ensemble spreads from CMA and ECMWF models cluster in this narrow band due to limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology for the region centers near 23°C, underscoring why outcomes at 20°C and 25°C carry slightly lower implied probabilities. Fresh model updates expected within 24 hours will likely tighten or widen these ranges ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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