Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Zhengzhou's overnight low on August 23 near or above 25°C, driven by elevated humidity levels (70-80%), partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light northeasterly winds. Recent model runs show morning temperatures holding around 25-28°C amid lingering moisture from prior showers and subtropical high influence, consistent with typical late-August conditions where daily lows rarely dip sharply without clear, dry air. This underpins the 93% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher. Unusually rapid clearing or an unexpected northerly surge could allow greater cooling and challenge the outcome, though model consensus indicates low likelihood before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Zhengzhou le 23 août ?
25°C or higher 99%
21°C 22%
22°C 18%
19°C 12%
15°C or below
6%
16°C
10%
17°C
9%
18°C
11%
19°C
12%
20°C
11%
21°C
22%
22°C
18%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C or higher
99%
25°C or higher 99%
21°C 22%
22°C 18%
19°C 12%
15°C or below
6%
16°C
10%
17°C
9%
18°C
11%
19°C
12%
20°C
11%
21°C
22%
22°C
18%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C or higher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Zhengzhou's overnight low on August 23 near or above 25°C, driven by elevated humidity levels (70-80%), partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light northeasterly winds. Recent model runs show morning temperatures holding around 25-28°C amid lingering moisture from prior showers and subtropical high influence, consistent with typical late-August conditions where daily lows rarely dip sharply without clear, dry air. This underpins the 93% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher. Unusually rapid clearing or an unexpected northerly surge could allow greater cooling and challenge the outcome, though model consensus indicates low likelihood before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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