Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24 near 30–31 °C, driven by extensive cloud cover, 80–90% thunderstorm probability, and northeasterly flow that limits diurnal heating. Persistent monsoon-related moisture and a nearby low-pressure trough suppress surface temperatures below the seasonal August average of 33–34 °C, reducing the likelihood of peaks reaching 32 °C or higher despite occasional model runs showing brief clearing. Market-implied odds favoring 32 °C+ at 73.5% reflect remaining forecast uncertainty and historical variability in convective timing, while the 21.5% on 31 °C captures the most probable range under current stable atmospheric conditions ahead of updated model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 24 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 24 août ?
32°C or higher 81%
31°C 22%
30°C 13%
29°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
13%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
74%
32°C or higher 81%
31°C 22%
30°C 13%
29°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
22°C or below
$220 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$734 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$22 Vol.
13%
31°C
$0 Vol.
22%
32°C or higher
$45 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24 near 30–31 °C, driven by extensive cloud cover, 80–90% thunderstorm probability, and northeasterly flow that limits diurnal heating. Persistent monsoon-related moisture and a nearby low-pressure trough suppress surface temperatures below the seasonal August average of 33–34 °C, reducing the likelihood of peaks reaching 32 °C or higher despite occasional model runs showing brief clearing. Market-implied odds favoring 32 °C+ at 73.5% reflect remaining forecast uncertainty and historical variability in convective timing, while the 21.5% on 31 °C captures the most probable range under current stable atmospheric conditions ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,066Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24 near 30–31 °C, driven by extensive cloud cover, 80–90% thunderstorm probability, and northeasterly flow that limits diurnal heating. Persistent monsoon-related moisture and a nearby low-pressure trough suppress surface temperatures below the seasonal August average of 33–34 °C, reducing the likelihood of peaks reaching 32 °C or higher despite occasional model runs showing brief clearing. Market-implied odds favoring 32 °C+ at 73.5% reflect remaining forecast uncertainty and historical variability in convective timing, while the 21.5% on 31 °C captures the most probable range under current stable atmospheric conditions ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,066Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24 near 30–31 °C, driven by extensive cloud cover, 80–90% thunderstorm probability, and northeasterly flow that limits diurnal heating. Persistent monsoon-related moisture and a nearby low-pressure trough suppress surface temperatures below the seasonal August average of 33–34 °C, reducing the likelihood of peaks reaching 32 °C or higher despite occasional model runs showing brief clearing. Market-implied odds favoring 32 °C+ at 73.5% reflect remaining forecast uncertainty and historical variability in convective timing, while the 21.5% on 31 °C captures the most probable range under current stable atmospheric conditions ahead of updated model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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