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icon for Primaire démocrate du Sénat du Michigan : Gagnant du comté d'Oakland
Politique·Primaires

Primaire démocrate du Sénat du Michigan : Gagnant du comté d'Oakland

icon for Primaire démocrate du Sénat du Michigan : Gagnant du comté d'Oakland
Politique·Primaires

Primaire démocrate du Sénat du Michigan : Gagnant du comté d'Oakland

NOUVEAU
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Abdul El-Sayed

$0 Vol.

22%

Haley Stevens

$147 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.The Michigan Democratic Senate primary remains closely contested in Oakland County due to the withdrawal of state Sen. Mallory McMorrow on July 5, 2026, which consolidated support between U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens and Abdul El-Sayed ahead of the August 4 vote. Stevens benefits from recent endorsement by retiring Sen. Gary Peters and established local ties in suburban Oakland districts, while El-Sayed draws strength from progressive networks and differing emphases on health care and foreign policy. These factors, combined with the county's mix of Democratic voters and limited recent polling specific to the area, sustain the tight trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Upcoming debates or additional endorsements could shift momentum before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
Volume
$147
Date de fin
4 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 21, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.The Michigan Democratic Senate primary remains closely contested in Oakland County due to the withdrawal of state Sen. Mallory McMorrow on July 5, 2026, which consolidated support between U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens and Abdul El-Sayed ahead of the August 4 vote. Stevens benefits from recent endorsement by retiring Sen. Gary Peters and established local ties in suburban Oakland districts, while El-Sayed draws strength from progressive networks and differing emphases on health care and foreign policy. These factors, combined with the county's mix of Democratic voters and limited recent polling specific to the area, sustain the tight trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Upcoming debates or additional endorsements could shift momentum before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
Volume
$147
Date de fin
4 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 21, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.

Connexes

icon for Haley Stevens remportera-t-elle le comté de Wayne lors de la primaire démocrate du Sénat du Michigan ?

Haley Stevens remportera-t-elle le comté de Wayne lors de la primaire démocrate du Sénat du Michigan ?

53%
Oui
icon for Abdul El-Sayed remportera-t-il le comté de Washtenaw lors de la primaire démocrate du Sénat du Michigan ?

Abdul El-Sayed remportera-t-il le comté de Washtenaw lors de la primaire démocrate du Sénat du Michigan ?

67%
Oui
icon for Abdul El-Sayed va-t-il gagner la primaire démocrate du Michigan en 2026 ?

Abdul El-Sayed va-t-il gagner la primaire démocrate du Michigan en 2026 ?

80%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Primaire démocrate du Sénat du Michigan : Gagnant du comté d'Oakland » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Haley Stevens » à 46%, suivi de « Abdul El-Sayed » à 22%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 46¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 46% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Primaire démocrate du Sénat du Michigan : Gagnant du comté d'Oakland » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 21, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Primaire démocrate du Sénat du Michigan : Gagnant du comté d'Oakland », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Primaire démocrate du Sénat du Michigan : Gagnant du comté d'Oakland » est « Haley Stevens » à 46%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 46% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Abdul El-Sayed » à 22%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Primaire démocrate du Sénat du Michigan : Gagnant du comté d'Oakland » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.