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Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte

Allyson 44%

Álvaro Dias 44%

Professeur Roberio Paulino 44%

Rodrigo Bolsonaro 44%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Allyson 44%

Álvaro Dias 44%

Professeur Roberio Paulino 44%

Rodrigo Bolsonaro 44%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Allyson

Allyson

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Álvaro Dias

Álvaro Dias

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Professeur Roberio Paulino

Professeur Roberio Paulino

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Rodrigo Bolsonaro

Rodrigo Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Arinalda do MLB

Arinalda do MLB

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Cadu de Lula

Cadu de Lula

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Carlos Jararaca

Carlos Jararaca

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Dário Barbosa

Dário Barbosa

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Henrique Lyra

Henrique Lyra

$0 Vol.

44%

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote in Rio Grande do Norte shows a fragmented field with no candidate approaching a majority. Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) and Álvaro Dias (PL) have traded narrow leads in August surveys, while Cadu Xavier (PT) remains competitive but trails in the latest rounds. Multiple additional registered candidates, including those from smaller parties, split remaining support and keep any single contender below 40 percent. Coalition-building around former mayors, endorsements tied to national figures, and regional economic concerns continue to shape preferences without producing decisive separation. A strong performance by any top contender in the final weeks, shifts in undecided voters, or late alliances could consolidate support ahead of the first-round threshold.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote in Rio Grande do Norte shows a fragmented field with no candidate approaching a majority. Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) and Álvaro Dias (PL) have traded narrow leads in August surveys, while Cadu Xavier (PT) remains competitive but trails in the latest rounds. Multiple additional registered candidates, including those from smaller parties, split remaining support and keep any single contender below 40 percent. Coalition-building around former mayors, endorsements tied to national figures, and regional economic concerns continue to shape preferences without producing decisive separation. A strong performance by any top contender in the final weeks, shifts in undecided voters, or late alliances could consolidate support ahead of the first-round threshold.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

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Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

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icon for Eduardo Paes va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro ?

Eduardo Paes va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro ?

97%
Oui
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Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Allyson » à 44%, suivi de « Álvaro Dias » à 44%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 44¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte » est « Allyson » à 44%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Álvaro Dias » à 44%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.