The high probability assigned to H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) not becoming law in 2026 stems from its repeated failure to advance in the Senate despite House passage in April 2025 and February 2026. The bill requires documentary proof of citizenship for federal voter registration and faces a 60-vote threshold to overcome a filibuster, with Republicans holding 53 seats and limited cross-party support. Senate debates in March 2026 did not produce the necessary votes, and subsequent attempts via reconciliation or attachment to other measures stalled before the August recess. Competing priorities such as appropriations deadlines and the absence of scheduled floor action in the remaining months of the 119th Congress reinforce trader expectations that the measure will not reach the president for signature this year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
6% chance
$190,653 Vol.
$190,653 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
Oui
6% chance
$190,653 Vol.
$190,653 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high probability assigned to H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) not becoming law in 2026 stems from its repeated failure to advance in the Senate despite House passage in April 2025 and February 2026. The bill requires documentary proof of citizenship for federal voter registration and faces a 60-vote threshold to overcome a filibuster, with Republicans holding 53 seats and limited cross-party support. Senate debates in March 2026 did not produce the necessary votes, and subsequent attempts via reconciliation or attachment to other measures stalled before the August recess. Competing priorities such as appropriations deadlines and the absence of scheduled floor action in the remaining months of the 119th Congress reinforce trader expectations that the measure will not reach the president for signature this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volume
$190,653Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high probability assigned to H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) not becoming law in 2026 stems from its repeated failure to advance in the Senate despite House passage in April 2025 and February 2026. The bill requires documentary proof of citizenship for federal voter registration and faces a 60-vote threshold to overcome a filibuster, with Republicans holding 53 seats and limited cross-party support. Senate debates in March 2026 did not produce the necessary votes, and subsequent attempts via reconciliation or attachment to other measures stalled before the August recess. Competing priorities such as appropriations deadlines and the absence of scheduled floor action in the remaining months of the 119th Congress reinforce trader expectations that the measure will not reach the president for signature this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$190,653Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The high probability assigned to H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) not becoming law in 2026 stems from its repeated failure to advance in the Senate despite House passage in April 2025 and February 2026. The bill requires documentary proof of citizenship for federal voter registration and faces a 60-vote threshold to overcome a filibuster, with Republicans holding 53 seats and limited cross-party support. Senate debates in March 2026 did not produce the necessary votes, and subsequent attempts via reconciliation or attachment to other measures stalled before the August recess. Competing priorities such as appropriations deadlines and the absence of scheduled floor action in the remaining months of the 119th Congress reinforce trader expectations that the measure will not reach the president for signature this year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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