Traders see the 200-259 range as the most probable outcome for Elon Musk’s X activity from August 21-28 because recent weeks show moderate posting volumes amid a relatively quiet late-summer news cycle, with the prior bracket resolving at 240-259. His frequency remains highly sensitive to business developments at Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI, political commentary, or viral platform moments, which can quickly push daily output above 30 or drop it below 20. Historical patterns indicate wide weekly swings—averaging near 300 posts in active periods but far lower in lulls—with no major product launches or policy flashpoints currently on the immediate horizon to break the deadlock. The tight clustering around these brackets reflects ongoing uncertainty over whether any late-week engagement spike materializes before the period closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour200-219 15%
220-239 14%
240-259 13%
180-199 11%
$337,281 Vol.
$337,281 Vol.
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
4%
160-179
7%
180-199
11%
200-219
15%
220-239
14%
240-259
13%
260-279
11%
280-299
8%
300-319
6%
320-339
5%
340-359
3%
360-379
2%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500+
1%
200-219 15%
220-239 14%
240-259 13%
180-199 11%
$337,281 Vol.
$337,281 Vol.
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
4%
160-179
7%
180-199
11%
200-219
15%
220-239
14%
240-259
13%
260-279
11%
280-299
8%
300-319
6%
320-339
5%
340-359
3%
360-379
2%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 200-259 range as the most probable outcome for Elon Musk’s X activity from August 21-28 because recent weeks show moderate posting volumes amid a relatively quiet late-summer news cycle, with the prior bracket resolving at 240-259. His frequency remains highly sensitive to business developments at Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI, political commentary, or viral platform moments, which can quickly push daily output above 30 or drop it below 20. Historical patterns indicate wide weekly swings—averaging near 300 posts in active periods but far lower in lulls—with no major product launches or policy flashpoints currently on the immediate horizon to break the deadlock. The tight clustering around these brackets reflects ongoing uncertainty over whether any late-week engagement spike materializes before the period closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes