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Élections·Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine SC-01

icon for Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine SC-01
Élections·Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine SC-01

Mark Smith 71%

Alex Pelbath 16%

Sam McCown 9.1%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt 4.1%

Polymarket

$14,480 Vol.

Mark Smith 71%

Alex Pelbath 16%

Sam McCown 9.1%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt 4.1%

Polymarket

$14,480 Vol.

Mark Smith

$5,657 Vol.

71%

Alex Pelbath

$2,492 Vol.

16%

Sam McCown

$2,085 Vol.

9%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

$643 Vol.

4%

Jay Byars

$681 Vol.

4%

Jack Ellison

$945 Vol.

2%

Logan Cunningham

$733 Vol.

1%

Justin Myers

$603 Vol.

1%

Dan Brown

$641 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith holds a commanding position in the June 9 Republican primary for South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District seat, reflecting his current role as a state representative, business experience, and established Lowcountry relationships that have produced stronger name recognition and early organizational advantages. A late-April GOP forum straw poll showed Smith ahead at 34 percent, narrowly ahead of retired Air Force Colonel Alex Pelbath, who highlights his military service in campaign messaging. The crowded field also features Dorchester County Councilman Jay Byars, Charleston County Councilwoman Jenny Costa Honeycutt, and physician Sam McCown, with fundraising and local media attention concentrated among these five candidates. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with Smith's early polling edge and institutional support heading into the final weeks before early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,480
Date de fin
9 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith holds a commanding position in the June 9 Republican primary for South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District seat, reflecting his current role as a state representative, business experience, and established Lowcountry relationships that have produced stronger name recognition and early organizational advantages. A late-April GOP forum straw poll showed Smith ahead at 34 percent, narrowly ahead of retired Air Force Colonel Alex Pelbath, who highlights his military service in campaign messaging. The crowded field also features Dorchester County Councilman Jay Byars, Charleston County Councilwoman Jenny Costa Honeycutt, and physician Sam McCown, with fundraising and local media attention concentrated among these five candidates. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with Smith's early polling edge and institutional support heading into the final weeks before early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,480
Date de fin
9 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine SC-01 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Mark Smith » à 71%, suivi de « Alex Pelbath » à 17%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 71¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine SC-01 » a généré $14.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 18, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine SC-01 », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine SC-01 » est « Mark Smith » à 71%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Alex Pelbath » à 17%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine SC-01 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.