In South Carolina's 6th congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat with a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits, incumbent Jim Clyburn advanced easily through the June 2026 Democratic primary with over 90% of the vote against challenger Frederick Goodwin. Republican nominee John Peterson emerged from his primary to face Clyburn in the November general election. The district's consistent historical Democratic performance, including Clyburn's prior general-election margins near 60%, anchors trader views on likely victory ranges, while the absence of major recent polling shifts, scandals, or national political events since the primaries has kept multiple margin-of-victory buckets and candidate-specific outcomes clustered near even implied probabilities. Upcoming fall campaign activity and any late turnout or endorsement developments could still influence final spreads before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDémocrate 45%+ 37%
Victoire républicaine 37%
Démocrate 40-45% 37%
Démocrate 35-40 % 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate 45%+
37%
Démocrate 40-45%
37%
Démocrate 35-40 %
37%
Démocrate 30-35 %
37%
Démocrate 25-30 %
37%
Démocrate 20-25 %
37%
Démocrate 15-20%
37%
Démocrate 5-15%
37%
Démocrate 0-5 %
37%
Victoire républicaine
37%
Démocrate 45%+ 37%
Victoire républicaine 37%
Démocrate 40-45% 37%
Démocrate 35-40 % 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate 45%+
$0 Vol.
37%
Démocrate 40-45%
$0 Vol.
37%
Démocrate 35-40 %
$0 Vol.
37%
Démocrate 30-35 %
$0 Vol.
37%
Démocrate 25-30 %
$0 Vol.
37%
Démocrate 20-25 %
$0 Vol.
37%
Démocrate 15-20%
$0 Vol.
37%
Démocrate 5-15%
$0 Vol.
37%
Démocrate 0-5 %
$0 Vol.
37%
Victoire républicaine
$0 Vol.
37%
The 2026 SC-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 SC-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In South Carolina's 6th congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat with a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits, incumbent Jim Clyburn advanced easily through the June 2026 Democratic primary with over 90% of the vote against challenger Frederick Goodwin. Republican nominee John Peterson emerged from his primary to face Clyburn in the November general election. The district's consistent historical Democratic performance, including Clyburn's prior general-election margins near 60%, anchors trader views on likely victory ranges, while the absence of major recent polling shifts, scandals, or national political events since the primaries has kept multiple margin-of-victory buckets and candidate-specific outcomes clustered near even implied probabilities. Upcoming fall campaign activity and any late turnout or endorsement developments could still influence final spreads before Election Day.
The 2026 SC-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 SC-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 SC-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 2:50 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 SC-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 SC-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In South Carolina's 6th congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat with a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits, incumbent Jim Clyburn advanced easily through the June 2026 Democratic primary with over 90% of the vote against challenger Frederick Goodwin. Republican nominee John Peterson emerged from his primary to face Clyburn in the November general election. The district's consistent historical Democratic performance, including Clyburn's prior general-election margins near 60%, anchors trader views on likely victory ranges, while the absence of major recent polling shifts, scandals, or national political events since the primaries has kept multiple margin-of-victory buckets and candidate-specific outcomes clustered near even implied probabilities. Upcoming fall campaign activity and any late turnout or endorsement developments could still influence final spreads before Election Day.
The 2026 SC-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 SC-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 SC-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In South Carolina's 6th congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat with a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits, incumbent Jim Clyburn advanced easily through the June 2026 Democratic primary with over 90% of the vote against challenger Frederick Goodwin. Republican nominee John Peterson emerged from his primary to face Clyburn in the November general election. The district's consistent historical Democratic performance, including Clyburn's prior general-election margins near 60%, anchors trader views on likely victory ranges, while the absence of major recent polling shifts, scandals, or national political events since the primaries has kept multiple margin-of-victory buckets and candidate-specific outcomes clustered near even implied probabilities. Upcoming fall campaign activity and any late turnout or endorsement developments could still influence final spreads before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le candidat du Parti républicain remportera-t-il l'élection à la Chambre SC-07 de 2026 avec une avance de 35 % ou plus ?
38%
Oui
Le candidat du Parti républicain remportera-t-il l'élection à la Chambre SC-02 de 2026 avec 25 % d'avance ou plus ?
37%
Oui
Le candidat du Parti républicain gagnera-t-il l'élection pour la Chambre SC-03 de 2026 avec une avance de 40 à 45 % ?
38%
Oui
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