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icon for LES BARRES SCOTUS comptent-elles les bulletins postaux après le jour du scrutin ?

LES BARRES SCOTUS comptent-elles les bulletins postaux après le jour du scrutin ?

icon for LES BARRES SCOTUS comptent-elles les bulletins postaux après le jour du scrutin ?

LES BARRES SCOTUS comptent-elles les bulletins postaux après le jour du scrutin ?

Oui

73% chance
Polymarket

$39,252 Vol.

Oui

73% chance
Polymarket

$39,252 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Watson v. Republican National Committee, rules that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received and counted after election day, by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following March 23 oral arguments in a Republican National Committee challenge to Mississippi's law allowing mail-in ballots postmarked by Election Day to be received up to five days later, Supreme Court justices—including several conservatives—signaled strong skepticism toward state grace periods, emphasizing federal statutes like 2 U.S.C. § 7 that designate a uniform Election Day for federal elections. Justice Alito highlighted that Election Day functions as a single date for voting, not an extended period, raising prospects of a nationwide bar on post-Election Day counting. With a decision anticipated by late June ahead of 2026 midterms, traders price Yes at 72.5% based on this conservative majority's apparent consensus, though liberal justices voiced concerns over voter disenfranchisement and states' election administration authority under Article I, Section 4. Local officials warn of potential processing chaos in states like Pennsylvania and California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Watson v. Republican National Committee, rules that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received and counted after election day, by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$39,252
Date de fin
1 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Watson v. Republican National Committee, rules that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received and counted after election day, by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Watson v. Republican National Committee, rules that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received and counted after election day, by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following March 23 oral arguments in a Republican National Committee challenge to Mississippi's law allowing mail-in ballots postmarked by Election Day to be received up to five days later, Supreme Court justices—including several conservatives—signaled strong skepticism toward state grace periods, emphasizing federal statutes like 2 U.S.C. § 7 that designate a uniform Election Day for federal elections. Justice Alito highlighted that Election Day functions as a single date for voting, not an extended period, raising prospects of a nationwide bar on post-Election Day counting. With a decision anticipated by late June ahead of 2026 midterms, traders price Yes at 72.5% based on this conservative majority's apparent consensus, though liberal justices voiced concerns over voter disenfranchisement and states' election administration authority under Article I, Section 4. Local officials warn of potential processing chaos in states like Pennsylvania and California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Watson v. Republican National Committee, rules that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received and counted after election day, by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$39,252
Date de fin
1 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Watson v. Republican National Committee, rules that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received and counted after election day, by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« LES BARRES SCOTUS comptent-elles les bulletins postaux après le jour du scrutin ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « La Cour suprême interdit-elle de compter les bulletins de vote par correspondance après le jour de l'élection ? » à 73%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 73¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 73% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « LES BARRES SCOTUS comptent-elles les bulletins postaux après le jour du scrutin ? » a généré $39.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 24, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « LES BARRES SCOTUS comptent-elles les bulletins postaux après le jour du scrutin ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « LES BARRES SCOTUS comptent-elles les bulletins postaux après le jour du scrutin ? » est « La Cour suprême interdit-elle de compter les bulletins de vote par correspondance après le jour de l'élection ? » à 73%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 73% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « LES BARRES SCOTUS comptent-elles les bulletins postaux après le jour du scrutin ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.