SpaceX's accelerated IPO filing and planned Nasdaq debut in mid-June under ticker SPCX drive the 95.5% implied probability of Nasdaq-100 inclusion in 2026. The company completed its S-1 registration with a target raise of around $75 billion at $135 per share, positioning it among the largest public listings ever, and Nasdaq's fast-entry rules enable qualification after just 15 trading days for sufficiently large new listings. This timeline aligns with historical index inclusion patterns for major tech and aerospace firms, though last-minute delays from market volatility, SEC reviews, or shifts in valuation thresholds could still intervene before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
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NOUVEAU
1 janv. 2027
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1 janv. 2027
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX's accelerated IPO filing and planned Nasdaq debut in mid-June under ticker SPCX drive the 95.5% implied probability of Nasdaq-100 inclusion in 2026. The company completed its S-1 registration with a target raise of around $75 billion at $135 per share, positioning it among the largest public listings ever, and Nasdaq's fast-entry rules enable qualification after just 15 trading days for sufficiently large new listings. This timeline aligns with historical index inclusion patterns for major tech and aerospace firms, though last-minute delays from market volatility, SEC reviews, or shifts in valuation thresholds could still intervene before year-end.
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET
Volume
$514Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX's accelerated IPO filing and planned Nasdaq debut in mid-June under ticker SPCX drive the 95.5% implied probability of Nasdaq-100 inclusion in 2026. The company completed its S-1 registration with a target raise of around $75 billion at $135 per share, positioning it among the largest public listings ever, and Nasdaq's fast-entry rules enable qualification after just 15 trading days for sufficiently large new listings. This timeline aligns with historical index inclusion patterns for major tech and aerospace firms, though last-minute delays from market volatility, SEC reviews, or shifts in valuation thresholds could still intervene before year-end.
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
Volume
$514Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's accelerated IPO filing and planned Nasdaq debut in mid-June under ticker SPCX drive the 95.5% implied probability of Nasdaq-100 inclusion in 2026. The company completed its S-1 registration with a target raise of around $75 billion at $135 per share, positioning it among the largest public listings ever, and Nasdaq's fast-entry rules enable qualification after just 15 trading days for sufficiently large new listings. This timeline aligns with historical index inclusion patterns for major tech and aerospace firms, though last-minute delays from market volatility, SEC reviews, or shifts in valuation thresholds could still intervene before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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