SpaceX’s recent confidential SEC filing and explicit targeting of a $1.75–2 trillion IPO valuation for a June 2026 listing anchor the 1.75–2.00T outcome as the clear trader consensus at 61 percent implied probability. Private-market tenders have already lifted the company from roughly $800 billion late last year to $1.25 trillion following the xAI merger and now $1.51–1.75 trillion ahead of the roadshow, reflecting Starlink’s accelerating revenue trajectory and elevated price-to-sales multiples near 95x trailing estimates. The $75 billion capital raise sought would eclipse prior records, while the mid-May S-1 filing and June marketing window remain the immediate catalysts that could reinforce or shift pricing within the 1.75–2.25T band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour1,75-2,00 T 61%
2,00-2,25 T 29%
2,25-2,50 T 7.7%
2,50 T+ 5.4%
$133,285 Vol.
$133,285 Vol.
<1,25T
1%
1,25-1,50T
4%
1,50-1,75 T
22%
1,75-2,00 T
61%
2,00-2,25 T
29%
2,25-2,50 T
8%
2,50 T+
5%
1,75-2,00 T 61%
2,00-2,25 T 29%
2,25-2,50 T 7.7%
2,50 T+ 5.4%
$133,285 Vol.
$133,285 Vol.
<1,25T
$60,323 Vol.
1%
1,25-1,50T
$16,039 Vol.
4%
1,50-1,75 T
$9,240 Vol.
22%
1,75-2,00 T
$12,910 Vol.
61%
2,00-2,25 T
$13,938 Vol.
29%
2,25-2,50 T
$10,055 Vol.
8%
2,50 T+
$10,779 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent confidential SEC filing and explicit targeting of a $1.75–2 trillion IPO valuation for a June 2026 listing anchor the 1.75–2.00T outcome as the clear trader consensus at 61 percent implied probability. Private-market tenders have already lifted the company from roughly $800 billion late last year to $1.25 trillion following the xAI merger and now $1.51–1.75 trillion ahead of the roadshow, reflecting Starlink’s accelerating revenue trajectory and elevated price-to-sales multiples near 95x trailing estimates. The $75 billion capital raise sought would eclipse prior records, while the mid-May S-1 filing and June marketing window remain the immediate catalysts that could reinforce or shift pricing within the 1.75–2.25T band.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$133,285Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent confidential SEC filing and explicit targeting of a $1.75–2 trillion IPO valuation for a June 2026 listing anchor the 1.75–2.00T outcome as the clear trader consensus at 61 percent implied probability. Private-market tenders have already lifted the company from roughly $800 billion late last year to $1.25 trillion following the xAI merger and now $1.51–1.75 trillion ahead of the roadshow, reflecting Starlink’s accelerating revenue trajectory and elevated price-to-sales multiples near 95x trailing estimates. The $75 billion capital raise sought would eclipse prior records, while the mid-May S-1 filing and June marketing window remain the immediate catalysts that could reinforce or shift pricing within the 1.75–2.25T band.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$133,285Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s recent confidential SEC filing and explicit targeting of a $1.75–2 trillion IPO valuation for a June 2026 listing anchor the 1.75–2.00T outcome as the clear trader consensus at 61 percent implied probability. Private-market tenders have already lifted the company from roughly $800 billion late last year to $1.25 trillion following the xAI merger and now $1.51–1.75 trillion ahead of the roadshow, reflecting Starlink’s accelerating revenue trajectory and elevated price-to-sales multiples near 95x trailing estimates. The $75 billion capital raise sought would eclipse prior records, while the mid-May S-1 filing and June marketing window remain the immediate catalysts that could reinforce or shift pricing within the 1.75–2.25T band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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