Bill Ackman's December 2025 proposal to merge SpaceX with Pershing Square SPARC Holdings remains the main driver behind the market's strong "No" consensus at 89.4 percent. The structure would distribute SPAR rights to Tesla shareholders for a fee-free listing, yet neither Elon Musk nor SpaceX has issued any official response or filed regulatory documents to advance it. SpaceX continues to rely on private funding rounds for its Starlink constellation and Starship development, consistent with Musk's earlier preference for maintaining control without traditional IPO dilution. With no confirmed timeline, board approvals, or integration updates in the past five months, traders view the plan as speculative rather than imminent, leaving little catalyst for near-term reversal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Investor Bill Ackman proposed on X that Elon Musk take SpaceX public through a merger with Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd., a company founded and run by Ackman to innovatively transact public offerings through the use of Special Purpose Acquisition Rights or “SPARs” (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/2002484983123136990).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met:
- An agreed merger or business combination deal between SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- An offering of “SPARs” to Tesla Shareholders or other individuals which represent a subscription warrant to purchase shares in a business combination of Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. and SpaceX is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of an agreed merger/combination of these two companies or a SPAR offering of subscription warrants to purchase shares in a combination of these companies will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the merger or SPAR offering actually occurs.
If SpaceX goes public through another means, (i.e. SpaceX IPOs through a typical listing of their shares on a public stock exchange), this market will resolve immediately to “No”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company communications and/or regulatory filings from SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd.; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bill Ackman's December 2025 proposal to merge SpaceX with Pershing Square SPARC Holdings remains the main driver behind the market's strong "No" consensus at 89.4 percent. The structure would distribute SPAR rights to Tesla shareholders for a fee-free listing, yet neither Elon Musk nor SpaceX has issued any official response or filed regulatory documents to advance it. SpaceX continues to rely on private funding rounds for its Starlink constellation and Starship development, consistent with Musk's earlier preference for maintaining control without traditional IPO dilution. With no confirmed timeline, board approvals, or integration updates in the past five months, traders view the plan as speculative rather than imminent, leaving little catalyst for near-term reversal.
Investor Bill Ackman proposed on X that Elon Musk take SpaceX public through a merger with Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd., a company founded and run by Ackman to innovatively transact public offerings through the use of Special Purpose Acquisition Rights or “SPARs” (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/2002484983123136990).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met:
- An agreed merger or business combination deal between SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- An offering of “SPARs” to Tesla Shareholders or other individuals which represent a subscription warrant to purchase shares in a business combination of Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. and SpaceX is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of an agreed merger/combination of these two companies or a SPAR offering of subscription warrants to purchase shares in a combination of these companies will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the merger or SPAR offering actually occurs.
If SpaceX goes public through another means, (i.e. SpaceX IPOs through a typical listing of their shares on a public stock exchange), this market will resolve immediately to “No”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company communications and/or regulatory filings from SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd.; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met:
- An agreed merger or business combination deal between SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- An offering of “SPARs” to Tesla Shareholders or other individuals which represent a subscription warrant to purchase shares in a business combination of Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. and SpaceX is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of an agreed merger/combination of these two companies or a SPAR offering of subscription warrants to purchase shares in a combination of these companies will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the merger or SPAR offering actually occurs.
If SpaceX goes public through another means, (i.e. SpaceX IPOs through a typical listing of their shares on a public stock exchange), this market will resolve immediately to “No”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company communications and/or regulatory filings from SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd.; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 22, 2025, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$3,272Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 22, 2025, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Investor Bill Ackman proposed on X that Elon Musk take SpaceX public through a merger with Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd., a company founded and run by Ackman to innovatively transact public offerings through the use of Special Purpose Acquisition Rights or “SPARs” (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/2002484983123136990).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met:
- An agreed merger or business combination deal between SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- An offering of “SPARs” to Tesla Shareholders or other individuals which represent a subscription warrant to purchase shares in a business combination of Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. and SpaceX is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of an agreed merger/combination of these two companies or a SPAR offering of subscription warrants to purchase shares in a combination of these companies will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the merger or SPAR offering actually occurs.
If SpaceX goes public through another means, (i.e. SpaceX IPOs through a typical listing of their shares on a public stock exchange), this market will resolve immediately to “No”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company communications and/or regulatory filings from SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd.; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bill Ackman's December 2025 proposal to merge SpaceX with Pershing Square SPARC Holdings remains the main driver behind the market's strong "No" consensus at 89.4 percent. The structure would distribute SPAR rights to Tesla shareholders for a fee-free listing, yet neither Elon Musk nor SpaceX has issued any official response or filed regulatory documents to advance it. SpaceX continues to rely on private funding rounds for its Starlink constellation and Starship development, consistent with Musk's earlier preference for maintaining control without traditional IPO dilution. With no confirmed timeline, board approvals, or integration updates in the past five months, traders view the plan as speculative rather than imminent, leaving little catalyst for near-term reversal.
Investor Bill Ackman proposed on X that Elon Musk take SpaceX public through a merger with Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd., a company founded and run by Ackman to innovatively transact public offerings through the use of Special Purpose Acquisition Rights or “SPARs” (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/2002484983123136990).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met:
- An agreed merger or business combination deal between SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- An offering of “SPARs” to Tesla Shareholders or other individuals which represent a subscription warrant to purchase shares in a business combination of Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. and SpaceX is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of an agreed merger/combination of these two companies or a SPAR offering of subscription warrants to purchase shares in a combination of these companies will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the merger or SPAR offering actually occurs.
If SpaceX goes public through another means, (i.e. SpaceX IPOs through a typical listing of their shares on a public stock exchange), this market will resolve immediately to “No”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company communications and/or regulatory filings from SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd.; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met:
- An agreed merger or business combination deal between SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- An offering of “SPARs” to Tesla Shareholders or other individuals which represent a subscription warrant to purchase shares in a business combination of Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. and SpaceX is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of an agreed merger/combination of these two companies or a SPAR offering of subscription warrants to purchase shares in a combination of these companies will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the merger or SPAR offering actually occurs.
If SpaceX goes public through another means, (i.e. SpaceX IPOs through a typical listing of their shares on a public stock exchange), this market will resolve immediately to “No”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company communications and/or regulatory filings from SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd.; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,272Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 22, 2025, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bill Ackman's December 2025 proposal to merge SpaceX with Pershing Square SPARC Holdings remains the main driver behind the market's strong "No" consensus at 89.4 percent. The structure would distribute SPAR rights to Tesla shareholders for a fee-free listing, yet neither Elon Musk nor SpaceX has issued any official response or filed regulatory documents to advance it. SpaceX continues to rely on private funding rounds for its Starlink constellation and Starship development, consistent with Musk's earlier preference for maintaining control without traditional IPO dilution. With no confirmed timeline, board approvals, or integration updates in the past five months, traders view the plan as speculative rather than imminent, leaving little catalyst for near-term reversal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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