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icon for Trump goes to space in 2026?

Trump goes to space in 2026?

icon for Trump goes to space in 2026?

Trump goes to space in 2026?

2% chance
Polymarket

$36,426 Vol.

2% chance
Polymarket

$36,426 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trump's administration has prioritized NASA-led Artemis lunar missions and commercial partnerships for Moon infrastructure, with Artemis II completing a successful crewed flyby in April 2026 and subsequent executive actions targeting a sustained lunar presence by 2028-2032. No official announcements, training schedules, or mission manifests reference a presidential flight in the remaining months of 2026. At age 80, the president faces standard astronaut selection, medical certification, and vehicle integration barriers that typically require years of preparation. Recent Oval Office remarks joking about the possibility underscored the absence of concrete plans rather than signaling intent. While late-year developments such as an expedited private crewed flight or policy shift could theoretically alter timelines, current procedural and operational realities sustain trader expectations that no such trip will occur.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$36,426
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trump's administration has prioritized NASA-led Artemis lunar missions and commercial partnerships for Moon infrastructure, with Artemis II completing a successful crewed flyby in April 2026 and subsequent executive actions targeting a sustained lunar presence by 2028-2032. No official announcements, training schedules, or mission manifests reference a presidential flight in the remaining months of 2026. At age 80, the president faces standard astronaut selection, medical certification, and vehicle integration barriers that typically require years of preparation. Recent Oval Office remarks joking about the possibility underscored the absence of concrete plans rather than signaling intent. While late-year developments such as an expedited private crewed flight or policy shift could theoretically alter timelines, current procedural and operational realities sustain trader expectations that no such trip will occur.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$36,426
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Questions fréquentes

« Trump goes to space in 2026? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 2% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 2¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 2% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Trump goes to space in 2026? » a généré $36.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 30, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Trump goes to space in 2026? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Trump goes to space in 2026? » est de 2% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 2% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Trump goes to space in 2026? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.