Recent diplomatic contacts between the Trump administration and Moscow have centered on phone calls rather than scheduled summits, with the most recent July 2026 exchange yielding agreement only to maintain dialogue amid stalled Ukraine negotiations. The August 2025 Alaska meeting produced no durable ceasefire or territorial framework, and subsequent mediation has faltered amid intensified battlefield activity and mutual accusations over violations. Traders assign the highest probability to no in-person encounter before year-end due to these procedural and substantive hurdles, while China leads among possible venues because of its neutral-host potential and ongoing bilateral economic channels. Other locations remain marginal given security constraints, alliance alignments, and lack of confirmed preparatory announcements within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOù Trump et Poutine se rencontreront-ils en 2026 ?
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 65%
China 31%
United States 1.4%
Russia 1.4%
$418,714 Vol.
$418,714 Vol.

Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
65%

China
31%

United States
1%

Russia
1%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 65%
China 31%
United States 1.4%
Russia 1.4%
$418,714 Vol.
$418,714 Vol.

Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
65%

China
31%

United States
1%

Russia
1%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent diplomatic contacts between the Trump administration and Moscow have centered on phone calls rather than scheduled summits, with the most recent July 2026 exchange yielding agreement only to maintain dialogue amid stalled Ukraine negotiations. The August 2025 Alaska meeting produced no durable ceasefire or territorial framework, and subsequent mediation has faltered amid intensified battlefield activity and mutual accusations over violations. Traders assign the highest probability to no in-person encounter before year-end due to these procedural and substantive hurdles, while China leads among possible venues because of its neutral-host potential and ongoing bilateral economic channels. Other locations remain marginal given security constraints, alliance alignments, and lack of confirmed preparatory announcements within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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