President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, with a large U.S. delegation including CEOs Elon Musk of Tesla, Tim Cook of Apple, Larry Fink of BlackRock, and executives from Nvidia, Boeing, and other sectors, fueling trader consensus toward near-certainty on their attendance at the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping. White House confirmations of this business-heavy group—aimed at advancing trade deals, agriculture purchases, and tech cooperation—have spiked yes prices above 98% for these figures and "Any CEO of a publicly-listed U.S. company," reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on physical presence at bilateral meetings or state events with Chinese officials. High odds for Secretary of State Marco Rubio stem from diplomatic protocol, while lower probabilities for family like Melania Trump or Jared Kushner indicate unconfirmed roles; resolution awaits Trump's China departure amid Iran and Taiwan discussions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$236,434 Vol.
Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company
100%
Elon Musk
100%
Marco Rubio
99%
Tim Cook
96%
Scott Bessent
96%
Any of Trump’s sons
93%
Steve Witkoff
12%
Jared Kushner
11%
Mark Zuckerberg
1%
Melania Trump
1%
J.D. Vance
<1%
$236,434 Vol.
Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company
100%
Elon Musk
100%
Marco Rubio
99%
Tim Cook
96%
Scott Bessent
96%
Any of Trump’s sons
93%
Steve Witkoff
12%
Jared Kushner
11%
Mark Zuckerberg
1%
Melania Trump
1%
J.D. Vance
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present.
If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No".
The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 11, 2026, 8:54 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present.
If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No".
The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, with a large U.S. delegation including CEOs Elon Musk of Tesla, Tim Cook of Apple, Larry Fink of BlackRock, and executives from Nvidia, Boeing, and other sectors, fueling trader consensus toward near-certainty on their attendance at the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping. White House confirmations of this business-heavy group—aimed at advancing trade deals, agriculture purchases, and tech cooperation—have spiked yes prices above 98% for these figures and "Any CEO of a publicly-listed U.S. company," reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on physical presence at bilateral meetings or state events with Chinese officials. High odds for Secretary of State Marco Rubio stem from diplomatic protocol, while lower probabilities for family like Melania Trump or Jared Kushner indicate unconfirmed roles; resolution awaits Trump's China departure amid Iran and Taiwan discussions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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