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icon for Une œuvre d'art se vendra-t-elle 150 millions de $ d' ici le 31 décembre ?

Une œuvre d'art se vendra-t-elle 150 millions de $ d' ici le 31 décembre ?

icon for Une œuvre d'art se vendra-t-elle 150 millions de $ d' ici le 31 décembre ?

Une œuvre d'art se vendra-t-elle 150 millions de $ d' ici le 31 décembre ?

Oui

57% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Oui

57% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".Recent high-profile auctions have kept the market balanced, with a Jackson Pollock painting fetching $181 million in May 2026 and a Klimt portrait achieving $236 million late last year, yet broader recovery remains selective and concentrated at the very top. Strong single-owner collections and record bids for blue-chip modern and postwar works signal sustained demand for trophy pieces, but fewer guaranteed nine-figure lots are slated for the fall season compared to spring momentum. Key catalysts ahead include November New York auctions featuring major estates and any surprise private sales that could push totals past the threshold before year-end, while softer mid-market performance and economic caution temper expectations for another immediate blockbuster. Traders weigh these supply dynamics and historical rarity of such prices against the recent auction strength.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$1,193
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".Recent high-profile auctions have kept the market balanced, with a Jackson Pollock painting fetching $181 million in May 2026 and a Klimt portrait achieving $236 million late last year, yet broader recovery remains selective and concentrated at the very top. Strong single-owner collections and record bids for blue-chip modern and postwar works signal sustained demand for trophy pieces, but fewer guaranteed nine-figure lots are slated for the fall season compared to spring momentum. Key catalysts ahead include November New York auctions featuring major estates and any surprise private sales that could push totals past the threshold before year-end, while softer mid-market performance and economic caution temper expectations for another immediate blockbuster. Traders weigh these supply dynamics and historical rarity of such prices against the recent auction strength.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$1,193
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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Questions fréquentes

« Une œuvre d'art se vendra-t-elle 150 millions de $ d' ici le 31 décembre ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Une œuvre d'art se vendra-t-elle pour 150 millions de dollars d'ici le 31 décembre ? » à 47%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 47¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Une œuvre d'art se vendra-t-elle 150 millions de $ d' ici le 31 décembre ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 3, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Une œuvre d'art se vendra-t-elle 150 millions de $ d' ici le 31 décembre ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Une œuvre d'art se vendra-t-elle 150 millions de $ d' ici le 31 décembre ? » est « Une œuvre d'art se vendra-t-elle pour 150 millions de dollars d'ici le 31 décembre ? » à 47%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Une œuvre d'art se vendra-t-elle 150 millions de $ d' ici le 31 décembre ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.