Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, combined with active banker meetings and a targeted fall listing window, anchors the 89.5% market-implied odds that it reaches public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company has advanced preparations for an October or early-October debut following its $965 billion private valuation and strong revenue trajectory in large language models. In contrast, OpenAI filed shortly afterward but shifted toward a potential 2027 timeline amid valuation targets and market conditions. Traders view Anthropic's faster regulatory progress and execution momentum as decisive, though both face typical IPO risks such as SEC review timelines and broader tech market volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnthropic
$291,224 Vol.
$291,224 Vol.
Anthropic
$291,224 Vol.
$291,224 Vol.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, combined with active banker meetings and a targeted fall listing window, anchors the 89.5% market-implied odds that it reaches public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company has advanced preparations for an October or early-October debut following its $965 billion private valuation and strong revenue trajectory in large language models. In contrast, OpenAI filed shortly afterward but shifted toward a potential 2027 timeline amid valuation targets and market conditions. Traders view Anthropic's faster regulatory progress and execution momentum as decisive, though both face typical IPO risks such as SEC review timelines and broader tech market volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes