Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by scheduled investor meetings and reports targeting an October or fall debut, has driven the 87.5% market-implied odds that it will IPO before OpenAI. The company’s higher valuation near $965 billion and stronger revenue trajectory have reinforced its lead in the regulatory pipeline. In contrast, OpenAI’s later filing and recent shift toward a 2027 timeline after earlier Q4 2026 expectations have widened the gap. Traders view these verified steps and timeline adjustments as the dominant catalysts, though both remain subject to market conditions and final SEC review.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnthropic
$290,090 Vol.
$290,090 Vol.
Anthropic
$290,090 Vol.
$290,090 Vol.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by scheduled investor meetings and reports targeting an October or fall debut, has driven the 87.5% market-implied odds that it will IPO before OpenAI. The company’s higher valuation near $965 billion and stronger revenue trajectory have reinforced its lead in the regulatory pipeline. In contrast, OpenAI’s later filing and recent shift toward a 2027 timeline after earlier Q4 2026 expectations have widened the gap. Traders view these verified steps and timeline adjustments as the dominant catalysts, though both remain subject to market conditions and final SEC review.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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