**US regular gasoline prices currently average around $4.08–$4.09 per gallon (AAA data as of late August 2026), elevated by Brent crude near $85/bbl amid ongoing Strait of Hormuz volatility and supply disruptions.** Record-high August averages reflect these upstream pressures, with inventories tight and refinery margins supported. The primary near-term catalyst is the EPA’s emergency RVP waiver effective September 1, which expands summer-blend supply by hundreds of thousands of barrels daily through mid-month, likely easing prices ahead of seasonal demand decline and fall refinery maintenance. EIA’s August STEO projects a Q3 average near $3.78/gal, though recent geopolitical factors have kept spot levels firmer; trader-implied odds on related prediction markets price in modest downside risk through September resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
↑ $4.50
39%
↑ $4.40
47%
↑ $4.30
49%
↑ $4.20
54%
↓ $4.00
55%
↓ $3.90
47%
↓ $3.70
38%
↓ $3.50
33%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $4.50
$0 Vol.
39%
↑ $4.40
$0 Vol.
47%
↑ $4.30
$0 Vol.
49%
↑ $4.20
$0 Vol.
54%
↓ $4.00
$0 Vol.
55%
↓ $3.90
$0 Vol.
47%
↓ $3.70
$0 Vol.
38%
↓ $3.50
$0 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".**US regular gasoline prices currently average around $4.08–$4.09 per gallon (AAA data as of late August 2026), elevated by Brent crude near $85/bbl amid ongoing Strait of Hormuz volatility and supply disruptions.**
Record-high August averages reflect these upstream pressures, with inventories tight and refinery margins supported. The primary near-term catalyst is the EPA’s emergency RVP waiver effective September 1, which expands summer-blend supply by hundreds of thousands of barrels daily through mid-month, likely easing prices ahead of seasonal demand decline and fall refinery maintenance. EIA’s August STEO projects a Q3 average near $3.78/gal, though recent geopolitical factors have kept spot levels firmer; trader-implied odds on related prediction markets price in modest downside risk through September resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Marché ouvert : Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETSource de résolution
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".**US regular gasoline prices currently average around $4.08–$4.09 per gallon (AAA data as of late August 2026), elevated by Brent crude near $85/bbl amid ongoing Strait of Hormuz volatility and supply disruptions.**
Record-high August averages reflect these upstream pressures, with inventories tight and refinery margins supported. The primary near-term catalyst is the EPA’s emergency RVP waiver effective September 1, which expands summer-blend supply by hundreds of thousands of barrels daily through mid-month, likely easing prices ahead of seasonal demand decline and fall refinery maintenance. EIA’s August STEO projects a Q3 average near $3.78/gal, though recent geopolitical factors have kept spot levels firmer; trader-implied odds on related prediction markets price in modest downside risk through September resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$0Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETSource de résolution
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...**US regular gasoline prices currently average around $4.08–$4.09 per gallon (AAA data as of late August 2026), elevated by Brent crude near $85/bbl amid ongoing Strait of Hormuz volatility and supply disruptions.** Record-high August averages reflect these upstream pressures, with inventories tight and refinery margins supported. The primary near-term catalyst is the EPA’s emergency RVP waiver effective September 1, which expands summer-blend supply by hundreds of thousands of barrels daily through mid-month, likely easing prices ahead of seasonal demand decline and fall refinery maintenance. EIA’s August STEO projects a Q3 average near $3.78/gal, though recent geopolitical factors have kept spot levels firmer; trader-implied odds on related prediction markets price in modest downside risk through September resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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