Recent moderation in U.S. inflation, highlighted by July 2026 core CPI easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% the prior month, anchors trader sentiment for the August reading. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to further softening around 2.38%, supported by favorable base effects, contained shelter costs, and subsiding tariff and energy pressures. With Polymarket odds clustered tightly around 2.3–2.5%, markets reflect uncertainty over whether monthly core gains will normalize near 0.2% or show renewed momentum in services and goods categories. The September 11 release will test these dynamics against broader labor-market and monetary-policy signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour2,4 % 39%
2,3 % 31%
2,5 % 21%
2,6 % 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
≤2,0 %
1%
2,1 %
1%
2,2 %
4%
2,3 %
31%
2,4 %
39%
2,5 %
21%
2,6 %
5%
2,7 %
3%
2,8 %
3%
≥2,9 %
3%
2,4 % 39%
2,3 % 31%
2,5 % 21%
2,6 % 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
≤2,0 %
$297 Vol.
1%
2,1 %
$252 Vol.
1%
2,2 %
$370 Vol.
4%
2,3 %
$333 Vol.
31%
2,4 %
$1,958 Vol.
39%
2,5 %
$226 Vol.
21%
2,6 %
$878 Vol.
5%
2,7 %
$743 Vol.
3%
2,8 %
$861 Vol.
3%
≥2,9 %
$393 Vol.
3%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. inflation, highlighted by July 2026 core CPI easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% the prior month, anchors trader sentiment for the August reading. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to further softening around 2.38%, supported by favorable base effects, contained shelter costs, and subsiding tariff and energy pressures. With Polymarket odds clustered tightly around 2.3–2.5%, markets reflect uncertainty over whether monthly core gains will normalize near 0.2% or show renewed momentum in services and goods categories. The September 11 release will test these dynamics against broader labor-market and monetary-policy signals.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Volume
$6,310Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. inflation, highlighted by July 2026 core CPI easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% the prior month, anchors trader sentiment for the August reading. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to further softening around 2.38%, supported by favorable base effects, contained shelter costs, and subsiding tariff and energy pressures. With Polymarket odds clustered tightly around 2.3–2.5%, markets reflect uncertainty over whether monthly core gains will normalize near 0.2% or show renewed momentum in services and goods categories. The September 11 release will test these dynamics against broader labor-market and monetary-policy signals.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$6,310Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in U.S. inflation, highlighted by July 2026 core CPI easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% the prior month, anchors trader sentiment for the August reading. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to further softening around 2.38%, supported by favorable base effects, contained shelter costs, and subsiding tariff and energy pressures. With Polymarket odds clustered tightly around 2.3–2.5%, markets reflect uncertainty over whether monthly core gains will normalize near 0.2% or show renewed momentum in services and goods categories. The September 11 release will test these dynamics against broader labor-market and monetary-policy signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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