Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 65% implied probability for "No" on Sam Altman receiving OpenAI equity by June 30, driven by his recent federal court testimony in the ongoing Musk v. OpenAI trial, where he reaffirmed holding no direct equity despite indirect stakes via Y Combinator and disclosed financial ties through president Greg Brockman's $30 billion holding. This stance aligns with OpenAI's capped-profit structure designed to prioritize mission over personal gain, but scrutiny has intensified from House Oversight probes and state AG investigations into Altman's pushes for company investments in his personal ventures like Helion Energy and Stoke Space. With no formal equity grant announced amid governance tensions and a compressed timeline to resolution, traders anticipate regulatory and board hurdles persisting, though trial closing arguments this week could shift sentiment if new governance details emerge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juin 2026
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 65% implied probability for "No" on Sam Altman receiving OpenAI equity by June 30, driven by his recent federal court testimony in the ongoing Musk v. OpenAI trial, where he reaffirmed holding no direct equity despite indirect stakes via Y Combinator and disclosed financial ties through president Greg Brockman's $30 billion holding. This stance aligns with OpenAI's capped-profit structure designed to prioritize mission over personal gain, but scrutiny has intensified from House Oversight probes and state AG investigations into Altman's pushes for company investments in his personal ventures like Helion Energy and Stoke Space. With no formal equity grant announced amid governance tensions and a compressed timeline to resolution, traders anticipate regulatory and board hurdles persisting, though trial closing arguments this week could shift sentiment if new governance details emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ET
Volume
$4,893Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 65% implied probability for "No" on Sam Altman receiving OpenAI equity by June 30, driven by his recent federal court testimony in the ongoing Musk v. OpenAI trial, where he reaffirmed holding no direct equity despite indirect stakes via Y Combinator and disclosed financial ties through president Greg Brockman's $30 billion holding. This stance aligns with OpenAI's capped-profit structure designed to prioritize mission over personal gain, but scrutiny has intensified from House Oversight probes and state AG investigations into Altman's pushes for company investments in his personal ventures like Helion Energy and Stoke Space. With no formal equity grant announced amid governance tensions and a compressed timeline to resolution, traders anticipate regulatory and board hurdles persisting, though trial closing arguments this week could shift sentiment if new governance details emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,893Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 65% implied probability for "No" on Sam Altman receiving OpenAI equity by June 30, driven by his recent federal court testimony in the ongoing Musk v. OpenAI trial, where he reaffirmed holding no direct equity despite indirect stakes via Y Combinator and disclosed financial ties through president Greg Brockman's $30 billion holding. This stance aligns with OpenAI's capped-profit structure designed to prioritize mission over personal gain, but scrutiny has intensified from House Oversight probes and state AG investigations into Altman's pushes for company investments in his personal ventures like Helion Energy and Stoke Space. With no formal equity grant announced amid governance tensions and a compressed timeline to resolution, traders anticipate regulatory and board hurdles persisting, though trial closing arguments this week could shift sentiment if new governance details emerge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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