Tunisia enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup in a challenging Group F alongside the Netherlands, Japan, and Sweden, with their first match against the Swedes on June 14. Trader consensus heavily favors a group-stage exit at 66.5% implied probability, reflecting the squad’s limited depth and recent form against elite opposition, including heavy friendlies losses to Belgium and Austria. While Tunisia posted a near-perfect qualifying campaign—nine wins in ten matches and zero goals conceded—their historical inability to advance past the group stage in six prior appearances, combined with a young roster and new manager Sabri Lamouchi, underpins the market’s view that progression to the Round of 32 (22.5%) or beyond remains unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWorld Cup: Tunisia Stage of Elimination
Group Stage 68%
Round of 32 22%
Round of 16 8.4%
Semifinals 6.0%
$16,709 Vol.
$16,709 Vol.
Group Stage
68%
Round of 32
22%
Round of 16
8%
Semifinals
6%
Final
<1%
Quarterfinals
<1%
Champion
<1%
Group Stage 68%
Round of 32 22%
Round of 16 8.4%
Semifinals 6.0%
$16,709 Vol.
$16,709 Vol.
Group Stage
68%
Round of 32
22%
Round of 16
8%
Semifinals
6%
Final
<1%
Quarterfinals
<1%
Champion
<1%
If Tunisia is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Tunisia based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 7, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.fifa.com/en/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Tunisia is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Tunisia based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source de résolution
https://www.fifa.com/en/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tunisia enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup in a challenging Group F alongside the Netherlands, Japan, and Sweden, with their first match against the Swedes on June 14. Trader consensus heavily favors a group-stage exit at 66.5% implied probability, reflecting the squad’s limited depth and recent form against elite opposition, including heavy friendlies losses to Belgium and Austria. While Tunisia posted a near-perfect qualifying campaign—nine wins in ten matches and zero goals conceded—their historical inability to advance past the group stage in six prior appearances, combined with a young roster and new manager Sabri Lamouchi, underpins the market’s view that progression to the Round of 32 (22.5%) or beyond remains unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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