The elevated procedural thresholds for STF justice removal, requiring initiation by the prosecutor general and approval by a two-thirds Senate majority, sustain trader consensus against any impeachment succeeding before 2027. Multiple opposition petitions targeting Alexandre de Moraes and a April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes over the Banco Master scandal have produced no advancement through Senate committees or floor votes as of mid-May 2026. Recent filings following Moraes's suspension of a sentencing law that could shorten Jair Bolsonaro's sentence have similarly stalled, consistent with historical patterns where no STF justice has ever been removed by impeachment. Senate leadership continuity and the absence of unified support across party lines reinforce the low likelihood of reaching the required supermajority in the remaining timeframe.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$70,800 वॉल्यूम
$70,800 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
$70,800 वॉल्यूम
$70,800 वॉल्यूम
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The elevated procedural thresholds for STF justice removal, requiring initiation by the prosecutor general and approval by a two-thirds Senate majority, sustain trader consensus against any impeachment succeeding before 2027. Multiple opposition petitions targeting Alexandre de Moraes and a April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes over the Banco Master scandal have produced no advancement through Senate committees or floor votes as of mid-May 2026. Recent filings following Moraes's suspension of a sentencing law that could shorten Jair Bolsonaro's sentence have similarly stalled, consistent with historical patterns where no STF justice has ever been removed by impeachment. Senate leadership continuity and the absence of unified support across party lines reinforce the low likelihood of reaching the required supermajority in the remaining timeframe.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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