Brazil’s Senate has never impeached and removed an STF justice despite repeated petitions targeting figures such as Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes. Current barriers include the two-thirds Senate majority requirement, Senate leadership’s routine shelving of complaints, and a congressional majority aligned with the Lula administration that functions as a reliable firewall. A short timeline to the end of 2026 further reduces prospects, even after a 2026 CPI report recommending proceedings and December 2025 procedural disputes. Trader consensus at 96.6% on “No” reflects these structural and political realities. A sudden major scandal or rapid post-election realignment before year-end could still alter the outcome, though both remain low-probability events within the narrow window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
3% संभावना
$83,546 वॉल्यूम
$83,546 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
3% संभावना
$83,546 वॉल्यूम
$83,546 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil’s Senate has never impeached and removed an STF justice despite repeated petitions targeting figures such as Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes. Current barriers include the two-thirds Senate majority requirement, Senate leadership’s routine shelving of complaints, and a congressional majority aligned with the Lula administration that functions as a reliable firewall. A short timeline to the end of 2026 further reduces prospects, even after a 2026 CPI report recommending proceedings and December 2025 procedural disputes. Trader consensus at 96.6% on “No” reflects these structural and political realities. A sudden major scandal or rapid post-election realignment before year-end could still alter the outcome, though both remain low-probability events within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$83,546समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil’s Senate has never impeached and removed an STF justice despite repeated petitions targeting figures such as Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes. Current barriers include the two-thirds Senate majority requirement, Senate leadership’s routine shelving of complaints, and a congressional majority aligned with the Lula administration that functions as a reliable firewall. A short timeline to the end of 2026 further reduces prospects, even after a 2026 CPI report recommending proceedings and December 2025 procedural disputes. Trader consensus at 96.6% on “No” reflects these structural and political realities. A sudden major scandal or rapid post-election realignment before year-end could still alter the outcome, though both remain low-probability events within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$83,546समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil’s Senate has never impeached and removed an STF justice despite repeated petitions targeting figures such as Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes. Current barriers include the two-thirds Senate majority requirement, Senate leadership’s routine shelving of complaints, and a congressional majority aligned with the Lula administration that functions as a reliable firewall. A short timeline to the end of 2026 further reduces prospects, even after a 2026 CPI report recommending proceedings and December 2025 procedural disputes. Trader consensus at 96.6% on “No” reflects these structural and political realities. A sudden major scandal or rapid post-election realignment before year-end could still alter the outcome, though both remain low-probability events within the narrow window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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