Brazil's Senate has never removed an STF justice despite repeated impeachment petitions, reflecting the two-thirds vote threshold of 54 senators and institutional resistance from the current composition aligned with the executive. Recent campaign rhetoric from right-leaning Senate candidates has highlighted the issue ahead of the October 2026 elections, yet STF decano Gilmar Mendes and other justices have publicly downplayed prospects, citing procedural hurdles and limited Senate support. The abbreviated window before 2027 further constrains momentum, as any new senators would assume office only in early 2027. Trader consensus at 96.7% for no removal embeds these structural barriers and historical precedent. Shifts could still arise from a major verified scandal prompting cross-party Senate consensus or rapid post-election realignments before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
3% संभावना
$83,737 वॉल्यूम
$83,737 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
हाँ
3% संभावना
$83,737 वॉल्यूम
$83,737 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate has never removed an STF justice despite repeated impeachment petitions, reflecting the two-thirds vote threshold of 54 senators and institutional resistance from the current composition aligned with the executive. Recent campaign rhetoric from right-leaning Senate candidates has highlighted the issue ahead of the October 2026 elections, yet STF decano Gilmar Mendes and other justices have publicly downplayed prospects, citing procedural hurdles and limited Senate support. The abbreviated window before 2027 further constrains momentum, as any new senators would assume office only in early 2027. Trader consensus at 96.7% for no removal embeds these structural barriers and historical precedent. Shifts could still arise from a major verified scandal prompting cross-party Senate consensus or rapid post-election realignments before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$83,737समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate has never removed an STF justice despite repeated impeachment petitions, reflecting the two-thirds vote threshold of 54 senators and institutional resistance from the current composition aligned with the executive. Recent campaign rhetoric from right-leaning Senate candidates has highlighted the issue ahead of the October 2026 elections, yet STF decano Gilmar Mendes and other justices have publicly downplayed prospects, citing procedural hurdles and limited Senate support. The abbreviated window before 2027 further constrains momentum, as any new senators would assume office only in early 2027. Trader consensus at 96.7% for no removal embeds these structural barriers and historical precedent. Shifts could still arise from a major verified scandal prompting cross-party Senate consensus or rapid post-election realignments before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$83,737समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Senate has never removed an STF justice despite repeated impeachment petitions, reflecting the two-thirds vote threshold of 54 senators and institutional resistance from the current composition aligned with the executive. Recent campaign rhetoric from right-leaning Senate candidates has highlighted the issue ahead of the October 2026 elections, yet STF decano Gilmar Mendes and other justices have publicly downplayed prospects, citing procedural hurdles and limited Senate support. The abbreviated window before 2027 further constrains momentum, as any new senators would assume office only in early 2027. Trader consensus at 96.7% for no removal embeds these structural barriers and historical precedent. Shifts could still arise from a major verified scandal prompting cross-party Senate consensus or rapid post-election realignments before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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