Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73.5% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the easing cycle's momentum following unanimous 25 basis point cuts to 14.50% in March and April despite March inflation hitting 4.6% year-over-year, well above the 3% target. This positioning stems from Copom's assessment of a still-contractionary stance amid moderating activity, tempered by rising inflation expectations, fiscal risks, and Middle East-driven oil pressures flagged in the April 29 statement and May 5 commentary. No-change odds at 26.4% capture pause risks if April IPCA data (preliminary 4.4% y/y) confirms upside surprises, while hikes remain negligible at 0.3%. Key catalysts include mid-May full IPCA release and labor data ahead of the June 17-18 Copom.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाजून में बैंक ऑफ़ ब्राज़ील का फ़ैसला?
जून में बैंक ऑफ़ ब्राज़ील का फ़ैसला?
कमी 70%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 27.1%
वृद्धि 1.4%
$122,871 वॉल्यूम
$122,871 वॉल्यूम
16 जून, 2026
वृद्धि
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
27%
कमी
70%
कमी 70%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 27.1%
वृद्धि 1.4%
$122,871 वॉल्यूम
$122,871 वॉल्यूम
16 जून, 2026
वृद्धि
$36,273 वॉल्यूम
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$31,356 वॉल्यूम
27%
कमी
$55,261 वॉल्यूम
70%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73.5% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the easing cycle's momentum following unanimous 25 basis point cuts to 14.50% in March and April despite March inflation hitting 4.6% year-over-year, well above the 3% target. This positioning stems from Copom's assessment of a still-contractionary stance amid moderating activity, tempered by rising inflation expectations, fiscal risks, and Middle East-driven oil pressures flagged in the April 29 statement and May 5 commentary. No-change odds at 26.4% capture pause risks if April IPCA data (preliminary 4.4% y/y) confirms upside surprises, while hikes remain negligible at 0.3%. Key catalysts include mid-May full IPCA release and labor data ahead of the June 17-18 Copom.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$122,871समाप्ति तिथि
16 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73.5% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the easing cycle's momentum following unanimous 25 basis point cuts to 14.50% in March and April despite March inflation hitting 4.6% year-over-year, well above the 3% target. This positioning stems from Copom's assessment of a still-contractionary stance amid moderating activity, tempered by rising inflation expectations, fiscal risks, and Middle East-driven oil pressures flagged in the April 29 statement and May 5 commentary. No-change odds at 26.4% capture pause risks if April IPCA data (preliminary 4.4% y/y) confirms upside surprises, while hikes remain negligible at 0.3%. Key catalysts include mid-May full IPCA release and labor data ahead of the June 17-18 Copom.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$122,871समाप्ति तिथि
16 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73.5% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the easing cycle's momentum following unanimous 25 basis point cuts to 14.50% in March and April despite March inflation hitting 4.6% year-over-year, well above the 3% target. This positioning stems from Copom's assessment of a still-contractionary stance amid moderating activity, tempered by rising inflation expectations, fiscal risks, and Middle East-driven oil pressures flagged in the April 29 statement and May 5 commentary. No-change odds at 26.4% capture pause risks if April IPCA data (preliminary 4.4% y/y) confirms upside surprises, while hikes remain negligible at 0.3%. Key catalysts include mid-May full IPCA release and labor data ahead of the June 17-18 Copom.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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