Elevated Selic rates near 14.5–15 percent, even after the central bank’s recent 25-basis-point cut, have tightened credit conditions and moderated domestic demand, anchoring trader consensus for Brazil’s Q1 2026 year-over-year GDP growth near the 1.5–1.8 percent and 1.9–2.2 percent bands at 42.0 percent and 37.5 percent implied probabilities. Persistent IPCA inflation above the 3 percent target, combined with fiscal measures such as minimum-wage increases and expanded credit programs, has lifted high-frequency indicators including March retail sales and April PMIs, while agricultural base effects and external demand provide partial offsets. Full-year consensus forecasts from the IMF and Central Bank Focus survey cluster around 1.7–1.9 percent, consistent with sequential moderation after 2025’s 2.3 percent expansion. The May 29 IBGE release remains the pivotal catalyst that could shift these closely matched probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाQ1 2026 में ब्राजील की जीडीपी वृद्धि?
Q1 2026 में ब्राजील की जीडीपी वृद्धि?
1.9%–2.2% 37.5%
1.5%–1.8% 37%
1.1%–1.4% 5.9%
2.3%–2.6% 5.1%
$21,009 वॉल्यूम
$21,009 वॉल्यूम
29 मई, 2026
<0.7%
2%
0.7%–1.0%
2%
1.1%–1.4%
6%
1.5%–1.8%
37%
1.9%–2.2%
38%
2.3%–2.6%
18%
≥2.7%
3%
1.9%–2.2% 37.5%
1.5%–1.8% 37%
1.1%–1.4% 5.9%
2.3%–2.6% 5.1%
$21,009 वॉल्यूम
$21,009 वॉल्यूम
29 मई, 2026
<0.7%
$14,390 वॉल्यूम
2%
0.7%–1.0%
$661 वॉल्यूम
2%
1.1%–1.4%
$720 वॉल्यूम
6%
1.5%–1.8%
$1,045 वॉल्यूम
37%
1.9%–2.2%
$1,635 वॉल्यूम
38%
2.3%–2.6%
$732 वॉल्यूम
18%
≥2.7%
$1,827 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlElevated Selic rates near 14.5–15 percent, even after the central bank’s recent 25-basis-point cut, have tightened credit conditions and moderated domestic demand, anchoring trader consensus for Brazil’s Q1 2026 year-over-year GDP growth near the 1.5–1.8 percent and 1.9–2.2 percent bands at 42.0 percent and 37.5 percent implied probabilities. Persistent IPCA inflation above the 3 percent target, combined with fiscal measures such as minimum-wage increases and expanded credit programs, has lifted high-frequency indicators including March retail sales and April PMIs, while agricultural base effects and external demand provide partial offsets. Full-year consensus forecasts from the IMF and Central Bank Focus survey cluster around 1.7–1.9 percent, consistent with sequential moderation after 2025’s 2.3 percent expansion. The May 29 IBGE release remains the pivotal catalyst that could shift these closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 23, 2026, 7:16 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,009समाप्ति तिथि
29 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlElevated Selic rates near 14.5–15 percent, even after the central bank’s recent 25-basis-point cut, have tightened credit conditions and moderated domestic demand, anchoring trader consensus for Brazil’s Q1 2026 year-over-year GDP growth near the 1.5–1.8 percent and 1.9–2.2 percent bands at 42.0 percent and 37.5 percent implied probabilities. Persistent IPCA inflation above the 3 percent target, combined with fiscal measures such as minimum-wage increases and expanded credit programs, has lifted high-frequency indicators including March retail sales and April PMIs, while agricultural base effects and external demand provide partial offsets. Full-year consensus forecasts from the IMF and Central Bank Focus survey cluster around 1.7–1.9 percent, consistent with sequential moderation after 2025’s 2.3 percent expansion. The May 29 IBGE release remains the pivotal catalyst that could shift these closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
वॉल्यूम
$21,009समाप्ति तिथि
29 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated Selic rates near 14.5–15 percent, even after the central bank’s recent 25-basis-point cut, have tightened credit conditions and moderated domestic demand, anchoring trader consensus for Brazil’s Q1 2026 year-over-year GDP growth near the 1.5–1.8 percent and 1.9–2.2 percent bands at 42.0 percent and 37.5 percent implied probabilities. Persistent IPCA inflation above the 3 percent target, combined with fiscal measures such as minimum-wage increases and expanded credit programs, has lifted high-frequency indicators including March retail sales and April PMIs, while agricultural base effects and external demand provide partial offsets. Full-year consensus forecasts from the IMF and Central Bank Focus survey cluster around 1.7–1.9 percent, consistent with sequential moderation after 2025’s 2.3 percent expansion. The May 29 IBGE release remains the pivotal catalyst that could shift these closely matched probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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