Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu holds a commanding position in California's 36th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the district's strong Democratic lean and his consistent electoral success. Lieu advanced comfortably through the June 2 primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote against a fragmented field, while Republican Houston Brignano emerged as the main general election opponent but trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. The seat's partisan voting index and prior margins exceeding 60 percent for Democrats underscore the structural barriers for Republican candidates. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats reflects this baseline advantage, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the outcome in the final months.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-36 House Election Winner
CA-36 House Election Winner
$28,957 वॉल्यूम
$28,957 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$28,957 वॉल्यूम
$28,957 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,949 वॉल्यूम
95%
Republican Party
$23,009 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu holds a commanding position in California's 36th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the district's strong Democratic lean and his consistent electoral success. Lieu advanced comfortably through the June 2 primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote against a fragmented field, while Republican Houston Brignano emerged as the main general election opponent but trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. The seat's partisan voting index and prior margins exceeding 60 percent for Democrats underscore the structural barriers for Republican candidates. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats reflects this baseline advantage, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the outcome in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,957समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu holds a commanding position in California's 36th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the district's strong Democratic lean and his consistent electoral success. Lieu advanced comfortably through the June 2 primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote against a fragmented field, while Republican Houston Brignano emerged as the main general election opponent but trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. The seat's partisan voting index and prior margins exceeding 60 percent for Democrats underscore the structural barriers for Republican candidates. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats reflects this baseline advantage, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the outcome in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$28,957समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu holds a commanding position in California's 36th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the district's strong Democratic lean and his consistent electoral success. Lieu advanced comfortably through the June 2 primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote against a fragmented field, while Republican Houston Brignano emerged as the main general election opponent but trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. The seat's partisan voting index and prior margins exceeding 60 percent for Democrats underscore the structural barriers for Republican candidates. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats reflects this baseline advantage, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the outcome in the final months.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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