The solid Democratic lean of California's 18th congressional district, anchored by long-serving incumbent Zoe Lofgren, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index that has consistently favored the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Lofgren faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two contest, while the Republican field remains fragmented with limited fundraising and name recognition. No major shifts in voter registration, redistricting effects, or candidate announcements have altered this baseline since early 2025. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented national swing or unforeseen withdrawal by Lofgren before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -18 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -18 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$34,710 वॉल्यूम
$34,710 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
3%
$34,710 वॉल्यूम
$34,710 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$16,688 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$18,022 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solid Democratic lean of California's 18th congressional district, anchored by long-serving incumbent Zoe Lofgren, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index that has consistently favored the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Lofgren faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two contest, while the Republican field remains fragmented with limited fundraising and name recognition. No major shifts in voter registration, redistricting effects, or candidate announcements have altered this baseline since early 2025. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented national swing or unforeseen withdrawal by Lofgren before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$34,710समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solid Democratic lean of California's 18th congressional district, anchored by long-serving incumbent Zoe Lofgren, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index that has consistently favored the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Lofgren faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two contest, while the Republican field remains fragmented with limited fundraising and name recognition. No major shifts in voter registration, redistricting effects, or candidate announcements have altered this baseline since early 2025. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented national swing or unforeseen withdrawal by Lofgren before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$34,710समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solid Democratic lean of California's 18th congressional district, anchored by long-serving incumbent Zoe Lofgren, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index that has consistently favored the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Lofgren faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two contest, while the Republican field remains fragmented with limited fundraising and name recognition. No major shifts in voter registration, redistricting effects, or candidate announcements have altered this baseline since early 2025. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented national swing or unforeseen withdrawal by Lofgren before the November 3 general election.
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