Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ciro Gomes at 63.5% implied probability for the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, reflecting his consistent lead in recent polls like the May Veritá survey (54% valid votes) and April's Genial/Quaest (41% vs. incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32%), driven by strong name recognition as a former governor and national figure from the PSDB. Elmano de Freitas trails at 22.5% amid PT internal debates over his re-election bid versus Senator Camilo Santana, who polls competitively in second-round simulations but ties Eduardo Girão at 7% in first-round intentions. Lower odds for Roberto Cláudio (2.1%) and Capitão Wagner (0.3%) align with their marginal showings, as traders weigh polling trends and potential runoff dynamics in this first-past-the-post system with possible October 25 decisive round.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 64%
Elmano de Freitas 22%
कैमिलो सैंटाना 6.5%
Eduardo Girão 3.6%
$53,172 वॉल्यूम
$53,172 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
Ciro Gomes
64%
Elmano de Freitas
22%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
6%
Eduardo Girão
7%
Roberto Cláudio
2%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 64%
Elmano de Freitas 22%
कैमिलो सैंटाना 6.5%
Eduardo Girão 3.6%
$53,172 वॉल्यूम
$53,172 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$35,966 वॉल्यूम
64%
Elmano de Freitas
$5,656 वॉल्यूम
22%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
$2,887 वॉल्यूम
6%
Eduardo Girão
$3,074 वॉल्यूम
7%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,784 वॉल्यूम
2%
Capitão Wagner
$3,805 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ciro Gomes at 63.5% implied probability for the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, reflecting his consistent lead in recent polls like the May Veritá survey (54% valid votes) and April's Genial/Quaest (41% vs. incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32%), driven by strong name recognition as a former governor and national figure from the PSDB. Elmano de Freitas trails at 22.5% amid PT internal debates over his re-election bid versus Senator Camilo Santana, who polls competitively in second-round simulations but ties Eduardo Girão at 7% in first-round intentions. Lower odds for Roberto Cláudio (2.1%) and Capitão Wagner (0.3%) align with their marginal showings, as traders weigh polling trends and potential runoff dynamics in this first-past-the-post system with possible October 25 decisive round.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$53,172समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ciro Gomes at 63.5% implied probability for the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, reflecting his consistent lead in recent polls like the May Veritá survey (54% valid votes) and April's Genial/Quaest (41% vs. incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32%), driven by strong name recognition as a former governor and national figure from the PSDB. Elmano de Freitas trails at 22.5% amid PT internal debates over his re-election bid versus Senator Camilo Santana, who polls competitively in second-round simulations but ties Eduardo Girão at 7% in first-round intentions. Lower odds for Roberto Cláudio (2.1%) and Capitão Wagner (0.3%) align with their marginal showings, as traders weigh polling trends and potential runoff dynamics in this first-past-the-post system with possible October 25 decisive round.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$53,172समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ciro Gomes at 63.5% implied probability for the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, reflecting his consistent lead in recent polls like the May Veritá survey (54% valid votes) and April's Genial/Quaest (41% vs. incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32%), driven by strong name recognition as a former governor and national figure from the PSDB. Elmano de Freitas trails at 22.5% amid PT internal debates over his re-election bid versus Senator Camilo Santana, who polls competitively in second-round simulations but ties Eduardo Girão at 7% in first-round intentions. Lower odds for Roberto Cláudio (2.1%) and Capitão Wagner (0.3%) align with their marginal showings, as traders weigh polling trends and potential runoff dynamics in this first-past-the-post system with possible October 25 decisive round.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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