Latest SAWS and global model guidance indicate fine to partly cloudy conditions over Cape Town on August 5 with isolated showers possible, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 16–18 °C. The modest spread reflects uncertainty in maximum temperature driven by variable southeasterly wind strength, which advects cooler marine air and modulates daytime warming, alongside evolving cloud cover that alters shortwave radiation receipt. Recent model runs show small differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature anomalies relative to the seasonal 17 °C climatological baseline, keeping outcomes below 19 °C highly improbable while sustaining tight probabilities between the leading bins. Updated forecasts and surface observations through the afternoon will refine these estimates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को केप टाउन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
5 अगस्त को केप टाउन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17°C 35%
16°C 32%
18°C 18%
15°C 9%
$20,258 वॉल्यूम
$20,258 वॉल्यूम
5 अग, 2026
12°C या उससे कम
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
9%
16°C
32%
17°C
35%
18°C
18%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C या अधिक
<1%
17°C 35%
16°C 32%
18°C 18%
15°C 9%
$20,258 वॉल्यूम
$20,258 वॉल्यूम
5 अग, 2026
12°C या उससे कम
$957 वॉल्यूम
<1%
13°C
$2,502 वॉल्यूम
1%
14°C
$1,706 वॉल्यूम
2%
15°C
$730 वॉल्यूम
9%
16°C
$1,655 वॉल्यूम
32%
17°C
$862 वॉल्यूम
35%
18°C
$927 वॉल्यूम
18%
19°C
$1,477 वॉल्यूम
5%
20°C
$1,244 वॉल्यूम
3%
21°C
$3,027 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C या अधिक
$5,170 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest SAWS and global model guidance indicate fine to partly cloudy conditions over Cape Town on August 5 with isolated showers possible, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 16–18 °C. The modest spread reflects uncertainty in maximum temperature driven by variable southeasterly wind strength, which advects cooler marine air and modulates daytime warming, alongside evolving cloud cover that alters shortwave radiation receipt. Recent model runs show small differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature anomalies relative to the seasonal 17 °C climatological baseline, keeping outcomes below 19 °C highly improbable while sustaining tight probabilities between the leading bins. Updated forecasts and surface observations through the afternoon will refine these estimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,258समाप्ति तिथि
5 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest SAWS and global model guidance indicate fine to partly cloudy conditions over Cape Town on August 5 with isolated showers possible, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 16–18 °C. The modest spread reflects uncertainty in maximum temperature driven by variable southeasterly wind strength, which advects cooler marine air and modulates daytime warming, alongside evolving cloud cover that alters shortwave radiation receipt. Recent model runs show small differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature anomalies relative to the seasonal 17 °C climatological baseline, keeping outcomes below 19 °C highly improbable while sustaining tight probabilities between the leading bins. Updated forecasts and surface observations through the afternoon will refine these estimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$20,258समाप्ति तिथि
5 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest SAWS and global model guidance indicate fine to partly cloudy conditions over Cape Town on August 5 with isolated showers possible, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 16–18 °C. The modest spread reflects uncertainty in maximum temperature driven by variable southeasterly wind strength, which advects cooler marine air and modulates daytime warming, alongside evolving cloud cover that alters shortwave radiation receipt. Recent model runs show small differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature anomalies relative to the seasonal 17 °C climatological baseline, keeping outcomes below 19 °C highly improbable while sustaining tight probabilities between the leading bins. Updated forecasts and surface observations through the afternoon will refine these estimates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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