**Trader sentiment for Chengdu's June 16 maximum temperature centers on the 27–29°C range (combined ~79% implied probability), driven by short-range forecast guidance showing moderate highs amid typical early-summer conditions.** Chengdu's Sichuan Basin location produces frequent cloud cover and showers that limit daytime heating, consistent with June climatology of 28–30°C average maxima and high humidity. Recent model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com points to highs near 28–31°C (roughly 82–88°F) on the 16th, with possible rain or overcast skies suppressing peaks. This aligns with historical patterns where mid-June temperatures rarely exceed 33°C without strong subsidence or clear skies. The market's heavy weighting toward 27°C or below reflects trader incorporation of forecast uncertainty and potential for additional cooling from precipitation, while the thin tail above 32°C underscores low odds of anomalous heat. Upcoming CMA and global model runs through June 15 will likely determine whether probabilities shift.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
27°C या उससे कम 38%
28°C 22%
29°C 21%
30°C 12%
27°C या उससे कम
38%
28°C
22%
29°C
21%
30°C
12%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
27°C या उससे कम 38%
28°C 22%
29°C 21%
30°C 12%
27°C या उससे कम
38%
28°C
22%
29°C
21%
30°C
12%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Chengdu's June 16 maximum temperature centers on the 27–29°C range (combined ~79% implied probability), driven by short-range forecast guidance showing moderate highs amid typical early-summer conditions.** Chengdu's Sichuan Basin location produces frequent cloud cover and showers that limit daytime heating, consistent with June climatology of 28–30°C average maxima and high humidity. Recent model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com points to highs near 28–31°C (roughly 82–88°F) on the 16th, with possible rain or overcast skies suppressing peaks. This aligns with historical patterns where mid-June temperatures rarely exceed 33°C without strong subsidence or clear skies. The market's heavy weighting toward 27°C or below reflects trader incorporation of forecast uncertainty and potential for additional cooling from precipitation, while the thin tail above 32°C underscores low odds of anomalous heat. Upcoming CMA and global model runs through June 15 will likely determine whether probabilities shift.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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