Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the Chicago area recorded a daily high of 82–83°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the climatological normal of 83.1°F and confirming the market's 100% implied probability for that bracket. Preceding forecast guidance from NWS ensembles highlighted modest uncertainty due to scattered showers and variable cloud cover that moderated peak insolation, keeping temperatures clustered near the upper 70s to low 80s. With the event concluded, post-analysis of surface observations and model verification has eliminated residual bin risk, leaving negligible probability mass on adjacent ranges. Future similar markets will hinge on updated short-range model consensus and real-time mesonet data as resolution nears.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
12 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
82-83°F 100.0%
77°F या उससे कम <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$64,819 वॉल्यूम
$64,819 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
77°F या उससे कम
नहीं
78-79°F
नहीं
80-81°F
नहीं
82-83°F
हाँ
84-85°F
नहीं
86-87°F
नहीं
88-89°F
नहीं
90-91°F
नहीं
92-93°F
नहीं
94-95°F
नहीं
96°F या उससे अधिक
नहीं
82-83°F 100.0%
77°F या उससे कम <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$64,819 वॉल्यूम
$64,819 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
77°F या उससे कम
$11,177 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
78-79°F
$12,291 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
80-81°F
$8,176 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
82-83°F
$9,832 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
84-85°F
$7,937 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
86-87°F
$7,743 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
88-89°F
$3,480 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
90-91°F
$3,039 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
92-93°F
$483 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
94-95°F
$328 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
96°F या उससे अधिक
$334 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the Chicago area recorded a daily high of 82–83°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the climatological normal of 83.1°F and confirming the market's 100% implied probability for that bracket. Preceding forecast guidance from NWS ensembles highlighted modest uncertainty due to scattered showers and variable cloud cover that moderated peak insolation, keeping temperatures clustered near the upper 70s to low 80s. With the event concluded, post-analysis of surface observations and model verification has eliminated residual bin risk, leaving negligible probability mass on adjacent ranges. Future similar markets will hinge on updated short-range model consensus and real-time mesonet data as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$64,819समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the Chicago area recorded a daily high of 82–83°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the climatological normal of 83.1°F and confirming the market's 100% implied probability for that bracket. Preceding forecast guidance from NWS ensembles highlighted modest uncertainty due to scattered showers and variable cloud cover that moderated peak insolation, keeping temperatures clustered near the upper 70s to low 80s. With the event concluded, post-analysis of surface observations and model verification has eliminated residual bin risk, leaving negligible probability mass on adjacent ranges. Future similar markets will hinge on updated short-range model consensus and real-time mesonet data as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$64,819समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the Chicago area recorded a daily high of 82–83°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the climatological normal of 83.1°F and confirming the market's 100% implied probability for that bracket. Preceding forecast guidance from NWS ensembles highlighted modest uncertainty due to scattered showers and variable cloud cover that moderated peak insolation, keeping temperatures clustered near the upper 70s to low 80s. With the event concluded, post-analysis of surface observations and model verification has eliminated residual bin risk, leaving negligible probability mass on adjacent ranges. Future similar markets will hinge on updated short-range model consensus and real-time mesonet data as resolution nears.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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