Traders see the 80-81°F range as the clear favorite because official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for August 15, 2026, point to a daily high near the long-term August average of 80°F. Persistent cloud cover, moderate humidity, and light southerly winds have limited afternoon heating, keeping conditions from pushing into the mid-80s. Recent model runs show only modest uncertainty around peak timing and exact location of any breaks in cloudiness, which explains the secondary support for both 78-79°F and 82-83°F. With resolution based on verified observations at a primary Chicago station, the tight clustering around 80°F reflects both climatological norms and the absence of any strong warm-air advection or clear-sky development in the latest guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 23%
84-85°F 5%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
75°F या उससे कम
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 23%
84-85°F 5%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
75°F या उससे कम
$766 वॉल्यूम
<1%
76-77°F
$1,158 वॉल्यूम
2%
78-79°F
$1,147 वॉल्यूम
26%
80-81°F
$1,443 वॉल्यूम
48%
82-83°F
$645 वॉल्यूम
23%
84-85°F
$971 वॉल्यूम
5%
86-87°F
$1,408 वॉल्यूम
<1%
88-89°F
$469 वॉल्यूम
<1%
90-91°F
$167 वॉल्यूम
<1%
92-93°F
$365 वॉल्यूम
<1%
94°F या उससे अधिक
$168 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 80-81°F range as the clear favorite because official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for August 15, 2026, point to a daily high near the long-term August average of 80°F. Persistent cloud cover, moderate humidity, and light southerly winds have limited afternoon heating, keeping conditions from pushing into the mid-80s. Recent model runs show only modest uncertainty around peak timing and exact location of any breaks in cloudiness, which explains the secondary support for both 78-79°F and 82-83°F. With resolution based on verified observations at a primary Chicago station, the tight clustering around 80°F reflects both climatological norms and the absence of any strong warm-air advection or clear-sky development in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,709समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 80-81°F range as the clear favorite because official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for August 15, 2026, point to a daily high near the long-term August average of 80°F. Persistent cloud cover, moderate humidity, and light southerly winds have limited afternoon heating, keeping conditions from pushing into the mid-80s. Recent model runs show only modest uncertainty around peak timing and exact location of any breaks in cloudiness, which explains the secondary support for both 78-79°F and 82-83°F. With resolution based on verified observations at a primary Chicago station, the tight clustering around 80°F reflects both climatological norms and the absence of any strong warm-air advection or clear-sky development in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$8,709समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 80-81°F range as the clear favorite because official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for August 15, 2026, point to a daily high near the long-term August average of 80°F. Persistent cloud cover, moderate humidity, and light southerly winds have limited afternoon heating, keeping conditions from pushing into the mid-80s. Recent model runs show only modest uncertainty around peak timing and exact location of any breaks in cloudiness, which explains the secondary support for both 78-79°F and 82-83°F. With resolution based on verified observations at a primary Chicago station, the tight clustering around 80°F reflects both climatological norms and the absence of any strong warm-air advection or clear-sky development in the latest guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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