Traders have overwhelmingly priced the highest temperature in Manila on August 12 at exactly 30°C because official PAGASA forecasts and real-time observations consistently project this value amid the prevailing southwest monsoon. This pattern delivers cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall—conditions typical for the region's August climatology. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated confidence in these verified meteorological factors rather than speculation. A realistic shift away from 30°C would require unexpected model revisions, such as a sudden monsoon break producing clearer skies and stronger insolation that pushes readings above 31°C, or unusually intense localized downpours suppressing the high below the threshold; however, current agency guidance shows low likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 100.0%
24°C या उससे कम <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$34,234 वॉल्यूम
$34,234 वॉल्यूम
24°C या उससे कम
नहीं
25°C
नहीं
26°C
नहीं
27°C
नहीं
28°C
नहीं
29°C
नहीं
30°C
हाँ
31°C
नहीं
32°C
नहीं
33°C
नहीं
34°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
30°C 100.0%
24°C या उससे कम <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$34,234 वॉल्यूम
$34,234 वॉल्यूम
24°C या उससे कम
नहीं
25°C
नहीं
26°C
नहीं
27°C
नहीं
28°C
नहीं
29°C
नहीं
30°C
हाँ
31°C
नहीं
32°C
नहीं
33°C
नहीं
34°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: हाँ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: हाँ
Traders have overwhelmingly priced the highest temperature in Manila on August 12 at exactly 30°C because official PAGASA forecasts and real-time observations consistently project this value amid the prevailing southwest monsoon. This pattern delivers cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall—conditions typical for the region's August climatology. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated confidence in these verified meteorological factors rather than speculation. A realistic shift away from 30°C would require unexpected model revisions, such as a sudden monsoon break producing clearer skies and stronger insolation that pushes readings above 31°C, or unusually intense localized downpours suppressing the high below the threshold; however, current agency guidance shows low likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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