Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services indicate Moscow’s June 15 maximum will most likely reach 21–22 °C, driven by moderate southwesterly flow advecting mild air under partly cloudy skies. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 20–23 °C outcomes hinges on small differences in insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective clouds that could cap afternoon heating by 1–2 °C. Overnight lows near 12–13 °C set the diurnal range, while subtle shifts in 500 hPa heights or low-level moisture can alter the realized peak without changing the broader synoptic regime. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders weighting the most recent model consensus and real-time surface observations ahead of final verification by Moscow’s official stations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
22°C 30%
21°C 24%
20°C 18%
23°C 17%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
18%
21°C
24%
22°C
30%
23°C
17%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 30%
21°C 24%
20°C 18%
23°C 17%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
18%
21°C
24%
22°C
30%
23°C
17%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services indicate Moscow’s June 15 maximum will most likely reach 21–22 °C, driven by moderate southwesterly flow advecting mild air under partly cloudy skies. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 20–23 °C outcomes hinges on small differences in insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective clouds that could cap afternoon heating by 1–2 °C. Overnight lows near 12–13 °C set the diurnal range, while subtle shifts in 500 hPa heights or low-level moisture can alter the realized peak without changing the broader synoptic regime. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders weighting the most recent model consensus and real-time surface observations ahead of final verification by Moscow’s official stations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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