Strong model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports peak temperatures of at least 36°C in Qingdao on August 5, driven by a persistent subtropical high, warm advection, and high humidity that elevates feels-like values into the mid-30s°C range despite the coastal location. Recent observations and ensemble forecasts show minimal cooling from sea breezes or cloud cover, pushing the market-implied probability for 36°C or higher to near-certainty. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in onshore flow or precipitation that suppresses the daily maximum below the threshold, though current guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को क़िंगदाओ में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
36°C या उससे अधिक 100.0%
26°C या उससे कम <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$33,559 वॉल्यूम
$33,559 वॉल्यूम
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C या उससे अधिक
100%
36°C या उससे अधिक 100.0%
26°C या उससे कम <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$33,559 वॉल्यूम
$33,559 वॉल्यूम
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C या उससे अधिक
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports peak temperatures of at least 36°C in Qingdao on August 5, driven by a persistent subtropical high, warm advection, and high humidity that elevates feels-like values into the mid-30s°C range despite the coastal location. Recent observations and ensemble forecasts show minimal cooling from sea breezes or cloud cover, pushing the market-implied probability for 36°C or higher to near-certainty. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in onshore flow or precipitation that suppresses the daily maximum below the threshold, though current guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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