Market-implied odds reflect a near-certain trader consensus that Shenzhen’s official high temperature for August 12 will reach exactly 36 °C, consistent with real-time forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak afternoon readings at that level under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Recent model runs indicate minimal deviation expected from this value, with dew points and wind patterns supporting continued heat without triggering the next threshold. Historical August climatology for the region places typical highs near 33–34 °C, making today’s conditions an above-normal but well-observed event. Resolution hinges on the final 24-hour maximum reported by the Shenzhen station; only an unforecasted late surge or measurement revision could alter the outcome before the market settles.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को शेन्ज़ेन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
12 अगस्त को शेन्ज़ेन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$143,774 वॉल्यूम
$143,774 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$143,774 वॉल्यूम
$143,774 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
28°C or below
$564 वॉल्यूम
No
29°C
$564 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C
$2,405 वॉल्यूम
No
31°C
$1,525 वॉल्यूम
No
32°C
$1,993 वॉल्यूम
No
33°C
$9,639 वॉल्यूम
No
34°C
$39,871 वॉल्यूम
No
35°C
$47,798 वॉल्यूम
No
36°C
$19,756 वॉल्यूम
Yes
37°C
$11,002 वॉल्यूम
No
38°C or higher
$8,659 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds reflect a near-certain trader consensus that Shenzhen’s official high temperature for August 12 will reach exactly 36 °C, consistent with real-time forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak afternoon readings at that level under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Recent model runs indicate minimal deviation expected from this value, with dew points and wind patterns supporting continued heat without triggering the next threshold. Historical August climatology for the region places typical highs near 33–34 °C, making today’s conditions an above-normal but well-observed event. Resolution hinges on the final 24-hour maximum reported by the Shenzhen station; only an unforecasted late surge or measurement revision could alter the outcome before the market settles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$143,774समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds reflect a near-certain trader consensus that Shenzhen’s official high temperature for August 12 will reach exactly 36 °C, consistent with real-time forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak afternoon readings at that level under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Recent model runs indicate minimal deviation expected from this value, with dew points and wind patterns supporting continued heat without triggering the next threshold. Historical August climatology for the region places typical highs near 33–34 °C, making today’s conditions an above-normal but well-observed event. Resolution hinges on the final 24-hour maximum reported by the Shenzhen station; only an unforecasted late surge or measurement revision could alter the outcome before the market settles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$143,774समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Market-implied odds reflect a near-certain trader consensus that Shenzhen’s official high temperature for August 12 will reach exactly 36 °C, consistent with real-time forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak afternoon readings at that level under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Recent model runs indicate minimal deviation expected from this value, with dew points and wind patterns supporting continued heat without triggering the next threshold. Historical August climatology for the region places typical highs near 33–34 °C, making today’s conditions an above-normal but well-observed event. Resolution hinges on the final 24-hour maximum reported by the Shenzhen station; only an unforecasted late surge or measurement revision could alter the outcome before the market settles.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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