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US में ट्रेड करने के लिए polymarket.us पर जाएं

icon for 2026 में फेड की दरों में कितनी कटौती हुई?
किफ़ायती·रिवॉर्ड 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

2026 में फेड की दरों में कितनी कटौती हुई?

icon for 2026 में फेड की दरों में कितनी कटौती हुई?
किफ़ायती·रिवॉर्ड 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

2026 में फेड की दरों में कितनी कटौती हुई?

0 (0 बीपीएस) 96.0%

1 (25 बीपीएस) 1.0%

2 (50 बीपीएस) <1%

3 (75 बीपीएस) <1%

Polymarket

$53,152,724 वॉल्यूम

0 (0 बीपीएस) 96.0%

1 (25 बीपीएस) 1.0%

2 (50 बीपीएस) <1%

3 (75 बीपीएस) <1%

Polymarket

$53,152,724 वॉल्यूम

0 (0 बीपीएस)

$8,473,438 वॉल्यूम

96%

1 (25 बीपीएस)

$3,269,828 वॉल्यूम

1%

2 (50 बीपीएस)

$3,253,807 वॉल्यूम

1%

3 (75 बीपीएस)

$2,932,245 वॉल्यूम

<1%

4 (100 बीपीएस)

$2,732,107 वॉल्यूम

<1%

5 (125 बीपीएस)

$2,988,761 वॉल्यूम

<1%

6 (150 बीपीएस)

$4,222,076 वॉल्यूम

<1%

7 (175 बीपीएस)

$3,523,869 वॉल्यूम

<1%

8 (200 बेसिस प्वाइंट्स)

$3,292,613 वॉल्यूम

<1%

9 (225 बीपीएस)

$4,286,511 वॉल्यूम

<1%

10 (250 बेसिस प्वाइंट्स)

$4,951,980 वॉल्यूम

<1%

11 (275 बीपीएस)

$5,268,834 वॉल्यूम

<1%

12+ (300+ बीपीएस)

$3,957,532 वॉल्यूम

<1%

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.Recent FOMC projections and the September 2026 rate hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range have driven the 96% market-implied probability of zero Fed rate cuts in 2026. Policymakers’ median dot plot now points to a 4.1% funds rate by year-end, with 16 of 18 participants expecting at least one additional hike amid resilient growth, a 4.1% unemployment forecast, and core PCE inflation revised to 3.4%. This hawkish shift, reinforced by Chair Warsh’s emphasis on containing persistent price pressures, has aligned trader consensus with a higher-for-longer policy path. A material economic slowdown or faster-than-expected disinflation could still reopen the door to cuts, though such outcomes remain outside the current base case priced by markets.

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).

Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.

For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).

This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.

Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.

The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
वॉल्यूम
$53,152,724
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.Recent FOMC projections and the September 2026 rate hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range have driven the 96% market-implied probability of zero Fed rate cuts in 2026. Policymakers’ median dot plot now points to a 4.1% funds rate by year-end, with 16 of 18 participants expecting at least one additional hike amid resilient growth, a 4.1% unemployment forecast, and core PCE inflation revised to 3.4%. This hawkish shift, reinforced by Chair Warsh’s emphasis on containing persistent price pressures, has aligned trader consensus with a higher-for-longer policy path. A material economic slowdown or faster-than-expected disinflation could still reopen the door to cuts, though such outcomes remain outside the current base case priced by markets.

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).

Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.

For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).

This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.

Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.

The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
वॉल्यूम
$53,152,724
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x2F5e3684c...

संबंधित

icon for क्या 2026 में 2 फेड दरों में वृद्धि होगी?

क्या 2026 में 2 फेड दरों में वृद्धि होगी?

60%
हाँ
icon for क्या जुलाई 2027 की बैठक तक फेड दर में कटौती होगी?

क्या जुलाई 2027 की बैठक तक फेड दर में कटौती होगी?

50%
हाँ
icon for Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

68%

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"2026 में फेड की दरों में कितनी कटौती हुई?" Polymarket पर 13 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 0 (0 बीपीएस) 96% (96¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 1 (25 बीपीएस) 1% पर है।

आज तक, "2026 में फेड की दरों में कितनी कटौती हुई?" ने कुल $53.2 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Sep 29, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"2026 में फेड की दरों में कितनी कटौती हुई?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 13 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"2026 में फेड की दरों में कितनी कटौती हुई?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "0 (0 बीपीएस)" 96% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "1 (25 बीपीएस)" 1% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"2026 में फेड की दरों में कितनी कटौती हुई?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।