Ongoing U.S.-Iran military tensions have kept the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since late February 2026, slashing daily commercial vessel transits from a pre-conflict average exceeding 100 to single digits or near zero amid Iranian blockade measures and safety risks. As of mid-June, maritime trackers report only 2–7 vessels moving in recent 24-hour periods, with limited U.S. escorts of select ships and scattered reports of Iranian permissions for a handful more. This sustained disruption leaves the weekly total for June 15 heavily dependent on any rapid diplomatic signals or security pacts that could lift restrictions versus continued enforcement that caps volumes. The narrow spread across low-to-moderate ranges reflects trader uncertainty over whether incremental reopenings or fresh incidents will materialize in the immediate window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?
75-99 43%
25-49 41%
50-74 40%
100+ 39%
<25
31%
25-49
41%
50-74
40%
75-99
43%
100+
39%
75-99 43%
25-49 41%
50-74 40%
100+ 39%
<25
31%
25-49
41%
50-74
40%
75-99
43%
100+
39%
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period. If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if not all relevant data has been released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 12, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period. If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if not all relevant data has been released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing U.S.-Iran military tensions have kept the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since late February 2026, slashing daily commercial vessel transits from a pre-conflict average exceeding 100 to single digits or near zero amid Iranian blockade measures and safety risks. As of mid-June, maritime trackers report only 2–7 vessels moving in recent 24-hour periods, with limited U.S. escorts of select ships and scattered reports of Iranian permissions for a handful more. This sustained disruption leaves the weekly total for June 15 heavily dependent on any rapid diplomatic signals or security pacts that could lift restrictions versus continued enforcement that caps volumes. The narrow spread across low-to-moderate ranges reflects trader uncertainty over whether incremental reopenings or fresh incidents will materialize in the immediate window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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