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icon for Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

icon for Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

5% संभावना
Polymarket

$22,548 वॉल्यूम

5% संभावना
Polymarket

$22,548 वॉल्यूम

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify. An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments. Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing bilateral discussions between Iran and Oman on transit protocols or monitoring arrangements for the Strait of Hormuz date to early April 2026, including reports of potential fees or coordinated oversight amid the broader US-Iran conflict. However, US officials, including President Trump, have repeatedly rejected any Iranian role or toll system, issuing direct warnings and threats of sanctions against Oman. Recent focus has shifted to separate US-Iran negotiations, with reports as of June 12 indicating a possible framework to reopen the waterway under different terms, though no Iran-Oman agreement has been finalized or announced. With the June 15 deadline imminent and persistent diplomatic and external pressures, traders assess limited prospects for resolution in the immediate timeframe.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.

An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.

Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
वॉल्यूम
$22,548
समाप्ति तिथि
15 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify. An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments. Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify. An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments. Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing bilateral discussions between Iran and Oman on transit protocols or monitoring arrangements for the Strait of Hormuz date to early April 2026, including reports of potential fees or coordinated oversight amid the broader US-Iran conflict. However, US officials, including President Trump, have repeatedly rejected any Iranian role or toll system, issuing direct warnings and threats of sanctions against Oman. Recent focus has shifted to separate US-Iran negotiations, with reports as of June 12 indicating a possible framework to reopen the waterway under different terms, though no Iran-Oman agreement has been finalized or announced. With the June 15 deadline imminent and persistent diplomatic and external pressures, traders assess limited prospects for resolution in the immediate timeframe.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.

An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.

Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
वॉल्यूम
$22,548
समाप्ति तिथि
15 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify. An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments. Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

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अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?" Polymarket पर एक पूर्वानुमान बाज़ार है जहाँ ट्रेडर इस बात के आधार पर "हाँ" या "नहीं" शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं कि क्या उन्हें लगता है यह घटना होगी। वर्तमान भीड़-संचालित संभावना "Yes" के लिए 13% है। उदाहरण के लिए, अगर "हाँ" की कीमत 13¢ है, तो बाज़ार सामूहिक रूप से इस घटना के होने की 13% संभावना मानता है। ये संभावनाएँ लगातार बदलती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर नए विकास और जानकारी पर प्रतिक्रिया करते हैं। सही परिणाम में शेयर बाज़ार समाधान पर प्रत्येक $1 में भुनाए जा सकते हैं।

आज तक, "Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?" ने कुल $22.5K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार May 22, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, बस चुनें कि आपको लगता है उत्तर "हाँ" है या "नहीं"। प्रत्येक पक्ष की एक वर्तमान कीमत है जो बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाती है। अपनी राशि दर्ज करें और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें। अगर आप "हाँ" शेयर खरीदते हैं और परिणाम "हाँ" हल होता है, तो प्रत्येक शेयर $1 का भुगतान करता है। अगर "नहीं" हल होता है, तो आपके "हाँ" शेयर $0 का भुगतान करते हैं। लाभ सुरक्षित करने या नुकसान कम करने के लिए आप समाधान से पहले किसी भी समय अपने शेयर बेच सकते हैं।

"Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?" की वर्तमान संभावना "Yes" के लिए 13% है। इसका मतलब है कि Polymarket भीड़ वर्तमान में मानती है कि इस घटना के होने की 13% संभावना है। ये संभावनाएँ वास्तविक ट्रेड के आधार पर रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं।

"Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।