Recent consolidation of authority by Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps following the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes and the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has stabilized internal power structures. Military leaders have sidelined civilian officials and assumed greater control over decision-making without triggering open factional conflict, as evidenced by ongoing negotiations over ceasefire terms and nuclear issues through May 2026. Traders price a coup attempt by June 30 at low odds because regime institutions remain intact, economic management preparations continue, and external diplomatic channels show no signs of imminent collapse. Historical patterns of IRGC dominance during crises further support this consensus on limited near-term disruption.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$1,118,476 वॉल्यूम
$1,118,476 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$1,118,476 वॉल्यूम
$1,118,476 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent consolidation of authority by Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps following the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes and the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has stabilized internal power structures. Military leaders have sidelined civilian officials and assumed greater control over decision-making without triggering open factional conflict, as evidenced by ongoing negotiations over ceasefire terms and nuclear issues through May 2026. Traders price a coup attempt by June 30 at low odds because regime institutions remain intact, economic management preparations continue, and external diplomatic channels show no signs of imminent collapse. Historical patterns of IRGC dominance during crises further support this consensus on limited near-term disruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,118,476समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent consolidation of authority by Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps following the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes and the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has stabilized internal power structures. Military leaders have sidelined civilian officials and assumed greater control over decision-making without triggering open factional conflict, as evidenced by ongoing negotiations over ceasefire terms and nuclear issues through May 2026. Traders price a coup attempt by June 30 at low odds because regime institutions remain intact, economic management preparations continue, and external diplomatic channels show no signs of imminent collapse. Historical patterns of IRGC dominance during crises further support this consensus on limited near-term disruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,118,476समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent consolidation of authority by Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps following the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes and the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has stabilized internal power structures. Military leaders have sidelined civilian officials and assumed greater control over decision-making without triggering open factional conflict, as evidenced by ongoing negotiations over ceasefire terms and nuclear issues through May 2026. Traders price a coup attempt by June 30 at low odds because regime institutions remain intact, economic management preparations continue, and external diplomatic channels show no signs of imminent collapse. Historical patterns of IRGC dominance during crises further support this consensus on limited near-term disruption.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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