Internal divisions within Iran's ruling establishment have intensified following the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, amid disputes over U.S. truce negotiations and leadership succession. Hardliners have publicly accused figures like President Masoud Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf of plotting against rivals, while protests, economic strain, and residual effects from the 2026 conflict continue to test regime stability. Security forces have maintained control through crackdowns, limiting organized challenges despite opposition activities and calls for change. Traders assess a coup attempt by year-end as low-probability given the military's cohesion and institutional safeguards, though scheduled diplomatic developments or further unrest could alter dynamics before December 31.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$2,122,612 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
31 दिसंबर
8%
$2,122,612 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर
$81,386 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Internal divisions within Iran's ruling establishment have intensified following the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, amid disputes over U.S. truce negotiations and leadership succession. Hardliners have publicly accused figures like President Masoud Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf of plotting against rivals, while protests, economic strain, and residual effects from the 2026 conflict continue to test regime stability. Security forces have maintained control through crackdowns, limiting organized challenges despite opposition activities and calls for change. Traders assess a coup attempt by year-end as low-probability given the military's cohesion and institutional safeguards, though scheduled diplomatic developments or further unrest could alter dynamics before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,122,612समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Internal divisions within Iran's ruling establishment have intensified following the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, amid disputes over U.S. truce negotiations and leadership succession. Hardliners have publicly accused figures like President Masoud Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf of plotting against rivals, while protests, economic strain, and residual effects from the 2026 conflict continue to test regime stability. Security forces have maintained control through crackdowns, limiting organized challenges despite opposition activities and calls for change. Traders assess a coup attempt by year-end as low-probability given the military's cohesion and institutional safeguards, though scheduled diplomatic developments or further unrest could alter dynamics before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$2,122,612समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Internal divisions within Iran's ruling establishment have intensified following the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, amid disputes over U.S. truce negotiations and leadership succession. Hardliners have publicly accused figures like President Masoud Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf of plotting against rivals, while protests, economic strain, and residual effects from the 2026 conflict continue to test regime stability. Security forces have maintained control through crackdowns, limiting organized challenges despite opposition activities and calls for change. Traders assess a coup attempt by year-end as low-probability given the military's cohesion and institutional safeguards, though scheduled diplomatic developments or further unrest could alter dynamics before December 31.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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