Israel’s Central Elections Committee voted in late September to disqualify Ra’am from the October 27 Knesset election on grounds under Basic Law section 7A, yet the Supreme Court is widely expected to reverse the move before ballots are finalized. The attorney general has stated that evidence against the party fell short of the legal threshold, consistent with the court’s prior reversals of similar list-wide disqualifications. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the “no” outcome because final eligibility rests with judicial review rather than the politically composed committee, and appeals are scheduled imminently. Late shifts remain possible only if the court departs from established precedent or unforeseen procedural barriers emerge before election day.