**Trader consensus on a 12°C minimum in Beijing on September 15, 2026, stems from official forecasts and real-time observations indicating clear skies and light winds that promote radiative cooling overnight.** Models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration align on nocturnal temperatures dropping to this level under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-September, when average lows hover near 16°C but can dip lower with minimal cloud cover. Recent days have shown similar patterns, with minima around 12–13°C, reinforcing the outlook. The 99.6% market-implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in these converging data streams, including surface observations and ensemble model runs. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in humidity, thicker cloud cover, or a shift in wind patterns that limit cooling—developments that late-day monitoring could still flag before final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 सितंबर को बीजिंग में सबसे कम तापमान?
15 सितंबर को बीजिंग में सबसे कम तापमान?
12°C 100.0%
9°C या उससे कम <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$2,456 वॉल्यूम
$2,456 वॉल्यूम
15 सित, 2026
9°C या उससे कम
नहीं
10°C
नहीं
11°C
नहीं
12°C
हाँ
13°C
नहीं
14°C
नहीं
15°C
नहीं
16°C
नहीं
17°C
नहीं
18°C
नहीं
19°C या अधिक
नहीं
12°C 100.0%
9°C या उससे कम <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$2,456 वॉल्यूम
$2,456 वॉल्यूम
15 सित, 2026
9°C या उससे कम
$86 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
10°C
$46 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
11°C
$86 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
12°C
$145 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
13°C
$348 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
14°C
$433 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
15°C
$452 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
16°C
$688 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
17°C
$136 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
18°C
$26 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
19°C या अधिक
$10 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 12°C minimum in Beijing on September 15, 2026, stems from official forecasts and real-time observations indicating clear skies and light winds that promote radiative cooling overnight.**
Models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration align on nocturnal temperatures dropping to this level under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-September, when average lows hover near 16°C but can dip lower with minimal cloud cover. Recent days have shown similar patterns, with minima around 12–13°C, reinforcing the outlook.
The 99.6% market-implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in these converging data streams, including surface observations and ensemble model runs. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in humidity, thicker cloud cover, or a shift in wind patterns that limit cooling—developments that late-day monitoring could still flag before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,456समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 12°C minimum in Beijing on September 15, 2026, stems from official forecasts and real-time observations indicating clear skies and light winds that promote radiative cooling overnight.**
Models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration align on nocturnal temperatures dropping to this level under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-September, when average lows hover near 16°C but can dip lower with minimal cloud cover. Recent days have shown similar patterns, with minima around 12–13°C, reinforcing the outlook.
The 99.6% market-implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in these converging data streams, including surface observations and ensemble model runs. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in humidity, thicker cloud cover, or a shift in wind patterns that limit cooling—developments that late-day monitoring could still flag before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,456समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
**Trader consensus on a 12°C minimum in Beijing on September 15, 2026, stems from official forecasts and real-time observations indicating clear skies and light winds that promote radiative cooling overnight.** Models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration align on nocturnal temperatures dropping to this level under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-September, when average lows hover near 16°C but can dip lower with minimal cloud cover. Recent days have shown similar patterns, with minima around 12–13°C, reinforcing the outlook. The 99.6% market-implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in these converging data streams, including surface observations and ensemble model runs. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in humidity, thicker cloud cover, or a shift in wind patterns that limit cooling—developments that late-day monitoring could still flag before final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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