Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS consensus indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 3 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting milder air and extensive cloud cover that reduces nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with recent observations of overnight lows near 12–13°C on September 2 and places the outcome well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 10.3°C for the date. Trader positioning, with elevated implied probability on 18°C or higher alongside clustered support near 12–13°C, reflects model agreement on limited intensification of cooling overnight, though small revisions in wind speed or clearing skies could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution. Official updates from monitoring agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 सितंबर को मॉस्को में सबसे कम तापमान?
18°C or higher 88%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
12°C 28%
8°C or below
6%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
28%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
88%
18°C or higher 88%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
12°C 28%
8°C or below
6%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
28%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS consensus indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 3 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting milder air and extensive cloud cover that reduces nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with recent observations of overnight lows near 12–13°C on September 2 and places the outcome well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 10.3°C for the date. Trader positioning, with elevated implied probability on 18°C or higher alongside clustered support near 12–13°C, reflects model agreement on limited intensification of cooling overnight, though small revisions in wind speed or clearing skies could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution. Official updates from monitoring agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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