Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's strong reelection prospects in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+6 partisan voting index, drive trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5%. Keating, who won 56.4% in 2024 amid Kamala Harris's 55-44 district margin, holds a massive fundraising edge ($518K cash-on-hand vs. challengers' under $55K) ahead of the September 1 primaries against progressive activist Craig Swallow and limited Republican opposition like fisherman Tyler Macallister. No polls or major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics in this historically safe blue seat. Scenarios like a Keating scandal, primary upset, or strong national midterm Republican wave could challenge the outcome, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMA-09 House Election Winner
MA-09 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,241 वॉल्यूम
93%
Republican Party
$1,357 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's strong reelection prospects in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+6 partisan voting index, drive trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5%. Keating, who won 56.4% in 2024 amid Kamala Harris's 55-44 district margin, holds a massive fundraising edge ($518K cash-on-hand vs. challengers' under $55K) ahead of the September 1 primaries against progressive activist Craig Swallow and limited Republican opposition like fisherman Tyler Macallister. No polls or major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics in this historically safe blue seat. Scenarios like a Keating scandal, primary upset, or strong national midterm Republican wave could challenge the outcome, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,598समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's strong reelection prospects in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+6 partisan voting index, drive trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5%. Keating, who won 56.4% in 2024 amid Kamala Harris's 55-44 district margin, holds a massive fundraising edge ($518K cash-on-hand vs. challengers' under $55K) ahead of the September 1 primaries against progressive activist Craig Swallow and limited Republican opposition like fisherman Tyler Macallister. No polls or major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics in this historically safe blue seat. Scenarios like a Keating scandal, primary upset, or strong national midterm Republican wave could challenge the outcome, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$4,598समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's strong reelection prospects in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+6 partisan voting index, drive trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5%. Keating, who won 56.4% in 2024 amid Kamala Harris's 55-44 district margin, holds a massive fundraising edge ($518K cash-on-hand vs. challengers' under $55K) ahead of the September 1 primaries against progressive activist Craig Swallow and limited Republican opposition like fisherman Tyler Macallister. No polls or major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics in this historically safe blue seat. Scenarios like a Keating scandal, primary upset, or strong national midterm Republican wave could challenge the outcome, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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