Mexico’s Q2 2026 GDP growth expectations reflect a closely contested market where the 0.0-0.5% range commands 45% implied probability and the 1.5-2.0% bucket holds 40%, underscoring uncertainty following the 0.8% quarter-on-quarter contraction recorded in Q1 2026. Subdued manufacturing output, softening remittances, and moderating U.S. export demand have weighed on near-term momentum, while the government’s unchanged 1.8-2.8% full-year forecast and analysts’ 1.3-1.8% consensus incorporate a modest lift from the June FIFA World Cup co-hosting. Traders are monitoring high-frequency indicators through June for signs of domestic demand stabilization or further downside revisions tied to global trade dynamics and inflation persistence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
-0.5-0.0% 51%
0.5-1.0% 48%
1.5-2.0% 43%
1.0-1.5% 26%
नया
नया
30 जुल, 2026
<-0.5%
25%
-0.5-0.0%
28%
0.0-0.5%
48%
0.5-1.0%
27%
1.0-1.5%
26%
1.5-2.0%
43%
2.0-2.5%
11%
2.5%+
11%
-0.5-0.0% 51%
0.5-1.0% 48%
1.5-2.0% 43%
1.0-1.5% 26%
नया
नया
30 जुल, 2026
<-0.5%
$4 वॉल्यूम
25%
-0.5-0.0%
$24 वॉल्यूम
28%
0.0-0.5%
$11 वॉल्यूम
48%
0.5-1.0%
$6 वॉल्यूम
27%
1.0-1.5%
$2 वॉल्यूम
26%
1.5-2.0%
$0 वॉल्यूम
43%
2.0-2.5%
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
2.5%+
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Mexico’s Q2 2026 GDP growth expectations reflect a closely contested market where the 0.0-0.5% range commands 45% implied probability and the 1.5-2.0% bucket holds 40%, underscoring uncertainty following the 0.8% quarter-on-quarter contraction recorded in Q1 2026. Subdued manufacturing output, softening remittances, and moderating U.S. export demand have weighed on near-term momentum, while the government’s unchanged 1.8-2.8% full-year forecast and analysts’ 1.3-1.8% consensus incorporate a modest lift from the June FIFA World Cup co-hosting. Traders are monitoring high-frequency indicators through June for signs of domestic demand stabilization or further downside revisions tied to global trade dynamics and inflation persistence.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 4, 2026, 11:35 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$47समाप्ति तिथि
30 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Mexico’s Q2 2026 GDP growth expectations reflect a closely contested market where the 0.0-0.5% range commands 45% implied probability and the 1.5-2.0% bucket holds 40%, underscoring uncertainty following the 0.8% quarter-on-quarter contraction recorded in Q1 2026. Subdued manufacturing output, softening remittances, and moderating U.S. export demand have weighed on near-term momentum, while the government’s unchanged 1.8-2.8% full-year forecast and analysts’ 1.3-1.8% consensus incorporate a modest lift from the June FIFA World Cup co-hosting. Traders are monitoring high-frequency indicators through June for signs of domestic demand stabilization or further downside revisions tied to global trade dynamics and inflation persistence.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$47समाप्ति तिथि
30 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico’s Q2 2026 GDP growth expectations reflect a closely contested market where the 0.0-0.5% range commands 45% implied probability and the 1.5-2.0% bucket holds 40%, underscoring uncertainty following the 0.8% quarter-on-quarter contraction recorded in Q1 2026. Subdued manufacturing output, softening remittances, and moderating U.S. export demand have weighed on near-term momentum, while the government’s unchanged 1.8-2.8% full-year forecast and analysts’ 1.3-1.8% consensus incorporate a modest lift from the June FIFA World Cup co-hosting. Traders are monitoring high-frequency indicators through June for signs of domestic demand stabilization or further downside revisions tied to global trade dynamics and inflation persistence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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