Recent observational data from NSIDC and related agencies show Arctic sea ice minima stabilizing near 4.4–4.8 million square kilometers in recent summers, including the 2025 low of approximately 4.60 million square kilometers on September 10. This range aligns with the long-term downward trend of roughly 12% per decade since 1979, driven by Arctic amplification and thinner, younger ice cover, though a positive phase of the summer North Atlantic Oscillation has recently reduced melt rates through cooler, drier conditions. As of mid-August 2026, daily extents track near or below 2010s averages amid ongoing regional variability. ENSO influences and forecast model runs will shape further melt through the September minimum, with official updates from NSIDC providing key resolution data on extent thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाइस गर्मी में न्यूनतम आर्कटिक समुद्री बर्फ की सीमा?
4.4-4.6 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 27.6%
4.6-4.8 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 24.9%
4.2-4.4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 22.1%
4.0-4.2m वर्ग किमी 16.5%
$67,728 वॉल्यूम
$67,728 वॉल्यूम
<4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
13%
4.0-4.2m वर्ग किमी
17%
4.2-4.4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
19%
4.4-4.6 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
36%
4.6-4.8 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
25%
4.8-5 मिलियन वर्ग किलोमीटर
6%
5 मिलियन+ वर्ग किमी
4%
4.4-4.6 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 27.6%
4.6-4.8 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 24.9%
4.2-4.4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 22.1%
4.0-4.2m वर्ग किमी 16.5%
$67,728 वॉल्यूम
$67,728 वॉल्यूम
<4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
13%
4.0-4.2m वर्ग किमी
17%
4.2-4.4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
19%
4.4-4.6 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
36%
4.6-4.8 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
25%
4.8-5 मिलियन वर्ग किलोमीटर
6%
5 मिलियन+ वर्ग किमी
4%
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent observational data from NSIDC and related agencies show Arctic sea ice minima stabilizing near 4.4–4.8 million square kilometers in recent summers, including the 2025 low of approximately 4.60 million square kilometers on September 10. This range aligns with the long-term downward trend of roughly 12% per decade since 1979, driven by Arctic amplification and thinner, younger ice cover, though a positive phase of the summer North Atlantic Oscillation has recently reduced melt rates through cooler, drier conditions. As of mid-August 2026, daily extents track near or below 2010s averages amid ongoing regional variability. ENSO influences and forecast model runs will shape further melt through the September minimum, with official updates from NSIDC providing key resolution data on extent thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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