Record-low 2026 winter maximum extent near 14.3 million sq km has set a reduced baseline for summer melt, with early August extent at 7.02 million sq km (ninth-lowest on record) tracking close to recent low years. Long-term Arctic amplification and thinner first-year ice amplify vulnerability to atmospheric warming and wind patterns tracked by NSIDC and NOAA, while September minimums since 2007 remain the lowest 19 in the satellite era. Trader consensus around 4.4–4.8 million sq km reflects these trends offset by potential late-season variability in melt rates, with resolution hinging on official NSIDC Sea Ice Index values once the annual minimum is confirmed.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाइस गर्मी में न्यूनतम आर्कटिक समुद्री बर्फ की सीमा?
इस गर्मी में न्यूनतम आर्कटिक समुद्री बर्फ की सीमा?
4.4-4.6 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 38.5%
4.6-4.8 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 29.1%
4.2-4.4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 22.1%
<4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 13%
$67,193 वॉल्यूम
$67,193 वॉल्यूम
1 अक्टू, 2026
<4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
13%
4.0-4.2m वर्ग किमी
13%
4.2-4.4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
17%
4.4-4.6 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
39%
4.6-4.8 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
29%
4.8-5 मिलियन वर्ग किलोमीटर
3%
5 मिलियन+ वर्ग किमी
6%
4.4-4.6 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 38.5%
4.6-4.8 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 29.1%
4.2-4.4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 22.1%
<4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 13%
$67,193 वॉल्यूम
$67,193 वॉल्यूम
1 अक्टू, 2026
<4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
$30,436 वॉल्यूम
13%
4.0-4.2m वर्ग किमी
$6,551 वॉल्यूम
13%
4.2-4.4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
$2,920 वॉल्यूम
17%
4.4-4.6 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
$3,128 वॉल्यूम
39%
4.6-4.8 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
$6,805 वॉल्यूम
29%
4.8-5 मिलियन वर्ग किलोमीटर
$2,898 वॉल्यूम
3%
5 मिलियन+ वर्ग किमी
$14,455 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Record-low 2026 winter maximum extent near 14.3 million sq km has set a reduced baseline for summer melt, with early August extent at 7.02 million sq km (ninth-lowest on record) tracking close to recent low years. Long-term Arctic amplification and thinner first-year ice amplify vulnerability to atmospheric warming and wind patterns tracked by NSIDC and NOAA, while September minimums since 2007 remain the lowest 19 in the satellite era. Trader consensus around 4.4–4.8 million sq km reflects these trends offset by potential late-season variability in melt rates, with resolution hinging on official NSIDC Sea Ice Index values once the annual minimum is confirmed.
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$67,193समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Record-low 2026 winter maximum extent near 14.3 million sq km has set a reduced baseline for summer melt, with early August extent at 7.02 million sq km (ninth-lowest on record) tracking close to recent low years. Long-term Arctic amplification and thinner first-year ice amplify vulnerability to atmospheric warming and wind patterns tracked by NSIDC and NOAA, while September minimums since 2007 remain the lowest 19 in the satellite era. Trader consensus around 4.4–4.8 million sq km reflects these trends offset by potential late-season variability in melt rates, with resolution hinging on official NSIDC Sea Ice Index values once the annual minimum is confirmed.
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
वॉल्यूम
$67,193समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Record-low 2026 winter maximum extent near 14.3 million sq km has set a reduced baseline for summer melt, with early August extent at 7.02 million sq km (ninth-lowest on record) tracking close to recent low years. Long-term Arctic amplification and thinner first-year ice amplify vulnerability to atmospheric warming and wind patterns tracked by NSIDC and NOAA, while September minimums since 2007 remain the lowest 19 in the satellite era. Trader consensus around 4.4–4.8 million sq km reflects these trends offset by potential late-season variability in melt rates, with resolution hinging on official NSIDC Sea Ice Index values once the annual minimum is confirmed.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न