Record low winter maximum Arctic sea ice extent of 14.29 million square kilometers in March 2026, tied for the lowest in the satellite record per NSIDC data, combined with persistently near-record low spring extents through early May, has positioned the sub-4 million square kilometer minimum this September as the market favorite. Ongoing long-term decline averaging 12% per decade since 1979, driven by Arctic amplification and warmer ocean temperatures, leaves less ice to survive the melt season, while emerging El Niño conditions could further accelerate loss through altered atmospheric patterns and elevated sea surface temperatures. Traders weigh these factors against typical interannual variability in melt rates, with official NSIDC and NOAA monitoring updates through the summer peak expected to refine resolution probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाइस गर्मी में न्यूनतम आर्कटिक समुद्री बर्फ की सीमा?
इस गर्मी में न्यूनतम आर्कटिक समुद्री बर्फ की सीमा?
<4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 48%
4.2-4.4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 9.0%
4.4-4.6 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 8.7%
4.0-4.2m वर्ग किमी 8.1%
$48,580 वॉल्यूम
$48,580 वॉल्यूम
1 अक्टू, 2026
<4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
48%
4.0-4.2m वर्ग किमी
8%
4.2-4.4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
16%
4.4-4.6 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
9%
4.6-4.8 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
6%
4.8-5 मिलियन वर्ग किलोमीटर
2%
5 मिलियन+ वर्ग किमी
4%
<4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 48%
4.2-4.4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 9.0%
4.4-4.6 मिलियन वर्ग किमी 8.7%
4.0-4.2m वर्ग किमी 8.1%
$48,580 वॉल्यूम
$48,580 वॉल्यूम
1 अक्टू, 2026
<4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
$25,113 वॉल्यूम
48%
4.0-4.2m वर्ग किमी
$3,431 वॉल्यूम
8%
4.2-4.4 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
$1,313 वॉल्यूम
16%
4.4-4.6 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
$1,381 वॉल्यूम
9%
4.6-4.8 मिलियन वर्ग किमी
$2,948 वॉल्यूम
6%
4.8-5 मिलियन वर्ग किलोमीटर
$1,199 वॉल्यूम
2%
5 मिलियन+ वर्ग किमी
$13,195 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Record low winter maximum Arctic sea ice extent of 14.29 million square kilometers in March 2026, tied for the lowest in the satellite record per NSIDC data, combined with persistently near-record low spring extents through early May, has positioned the sub-4 million square kilometer minimum this September as the market favorite. Ongoing long-term decline averaging 12% per decade since 1979, driven by Arctic amplification and warmer ocean temperatures, leaves less ice to survive the melt season, while emerging El Niño conditions could further accelerate loss through altered atmospheric patterns and elevated sea surface temperatures. Traders weigh these factors against typical interannual variability in melt rates, with official NSIDC and NOAA monitoring updates through the summer peak expected to refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$48,580समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Record low winter maximum Arctic sea ice extent of 14.29 million square kilometers in March 2026, tied for the lowest in the satellite record per NSIDC data, combined with persistently near-record low spring extents through early May, has positioned the sub-4 million square kilometer minimum this September as the market favorite. Ongoing long-term decline averaging 12% per decade since 1979, driven by Arctic amplification and warmer ocean temperatures, leaves less ice to survive the melt season, while emerging El Niño conditions could further accelerate loss through altered atmospheric patterns and elevated sea surface temperatures. Traders weigh these factors against typical interannual variability in melt rates, with official NSIDC and NOAA monitoring updates through the summer peak expected to refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
वॉल्यूम
$48,580समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Record low winter maximum Arctic sea ice extent of 14.29 million square kilometers in March 2026, tied for the lowest in the satellite record per NSIDC data, combined with persistently near-record low spring extents through early May, has positioned the sub-4 million square kilometer minimum this September as the market favorite. Ongoing long-term decline averaging 12% per decade since 1979, driven by Arctic amplification and warmer ocean temperatures, leaves less ice to survive the melt season, while emerging El Niño conditions could further accelerate loss through altered atmospheric patterns and elevated sea surface temperatures. Traders weigh these factors against typical interannual variability in melt rates, with official NSIDC and NOAA monitoring updates through the summer peak expected to refine resolution probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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