Recent redistricting approved by the Missouri Supreme Court has shifted Missouri’s 5th congressional district toward a Republican lean by incorporating more rural counties east of Kansas City while splitting urban Democratic strongholds. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces multiple Republican primary challengers in the August 4 contest, with the general election set for November 3. Traders assign the Republican nominee a modest edge, reflecting the updated partisan voting index and historical performance in the expanded territory, though Cleaver’s long incumbency and Democratic base in the Kansas City core continue to support competitive positioning. No major polling has emerged yet, leaving the market sensitive to primary outcomes and national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
62%
Democratic Party
38%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$1,729 वॉल्यूम
62%
Democratic Party
$1,156 वॉल्यूम
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting approved by the Missouri Supreme Court has shifted Missouri’s 5th congressional district toward a Republican lean by incorporating more rural counties east of Kansas City while splitting urban Democratic strongholds. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces multiple Republican primary challengers in the August 4 contest, with the general election set for November 3. Traders assign the Republican nominee a modest edge, reflecting the updated partisan voting index and historical performance in the expanded territory, though Cleaver’s long incumbency and Democratic base in the Kansas City core continue to support competitive positioning. No major polling has emerged yet, leaving the market sensitive to primary outcomes and national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,885समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting approved by the Missouri Supreme Court has shifted Missouri’s 5th congressional district toward a Republican lean by incorporating more rural counties east of Kansas City while splitting urban Democratic strongholds. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces multiple Republican primary challengers in the August 4 contest, with the general election set for November 3. Traders assign the Republican nominee a modest edge, reflecting the updated partisan voting index and historical performance in the expanded territory, though Cleaver’s long incumbency and Democratic base in the Kansas City core continue to support competitive positioning. No major polling has emerged yet, leaving the market sensitive to primary outcomes and national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$2,885समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting approved by the Missouri Supreme Court has shifted Missouri’s 5th congressional district toward a Republican lean by incorporating more rural counties east of Kansas City while splitting urban Democratic strongholds. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces multiple Republican primary challengers in the August 4 contest, with the general election set for November 3. Traders assign the Republican nominee a modest edge, reflecting the updated partisan voting index and historical performance in the expanded territory, though Cleaver’s long incumbency and Democratic base in the Kansas City core continue to support competitive positioning. No major polling has emerged yet, leaving the market sensitive to primary outcomes and national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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