Missouri's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+19 Partisan Voting Index and history of GOP margins exceeding 70% in recent cycles, opened after longtime incumbent Rep. Sam Graves announced his retirement in late March 2026, yet trader consensus prices Republicans at 91.5% implied probability due to the district's rural northern Missouri base where Donald Trump carried 61.5% in 2024 and Democrats field a low-fundraising primary trio led by Josh Smead. Candidate filings closed March 31 with six Republicans vying in the August 4 open primary, including Graves-endorsed radio host Chris Stigall and Kansas City Councilman Nathan Willett, amid early Trump loyalty clashes but no subsequent polling or shifts. Absent a scandal-plagued GOP nominee, national Democratic wave, or late recruit, fundamentals lock in Republican victory on November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMO -06 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MO -06 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$28,012 वॉल्यूम
$28,012 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
92%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
8%
$28,012 वॉल्यूम
$28,012 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$22,456 वॉल्यूम
92%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$5,555 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+19 Partisan Voting Index and history of GOP margins exceeding 70% in recent cycles, opened after longtime incumbent Rep. Sam Graves announced his retirement in late March 2026, yet trader consensus prices Republicans at 91.5% implied probability due to the district's rural northern Missouri base where Donald Trump carried 61.5% in 2024 and Democrats field a low-fundraising primary trio led by Josh Smead. Candidate filings closed March 31 with six Republicans vying in the August 4 open primary, including Graves-endorsed radio host Chris Stigall and Kansas City Councilman Nathan Willett, amid early Trump loyalty clashes but no subsequent polling or shifts. Absent a scandal-plagued GOP nominee, national Democratic wave, or late recruit, fundamentals lock in Republican victory on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,012समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+19 Partisan Voting Index and history of GOP margins exceeding 70% in recent cycles, opened after longtime incumbent Rep. Sam Graves announced his retirement in late March 2026, yet trader consensus prices Republicans at 91.5% implied probability due to the district's rural northern Missouri base where Donald Trump carried 61.5% in 2024 and Democrats field a low-fundraising primary trio led by Josh Smead. Candidate filings closed March 31 with six Republicans vying in the August 4 open primary, including Graves-endorsed radio host Chris Stigall and Kansas City Councilman Nathan Willett, amid early Trump loyalty clashes but no subsequent polling or shifts. Absent a scandal-plagued GOP nominee, national Democratic wave, or late recruit, fundamentals lock in Republican victory on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$28,012समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+19 Partisan Voting Index and history of GOP margins exceeding 70% in recent cycles, opened after longtime incumbent Rep. Sam Graves announced his retirement in late March 2026, yet trader consensus prices Republicans at 91.5% implied probability due to the district's rural northern Missouri base where Donald Trump carried 61.5% in 2024 and Democrats field a low-fundraising primary trio led by Josh Smead. Candidate filings closed March 31 with six Republicans vying in the August 4 open primary, including Graves-endorsed radio host Chris Stigall and Kansas City Councilman Nathan Willett, amid early Trump loyalty clashes but no subsequent polling or shifts. Absent a scandal-plagued GOP nominee, national Democratic wave, or late recruit, fundamentals lock in Republican victory on November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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