The open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District, following incumbent Republican Mark Amodei's February 2026 retirement announcement, has drawn a crowded Republican primary field of 13 candidates ahead of the June 9 contest, while 11 Democrats have entered their primary. The district's R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 19-point margin in 2024, underpin the 73.5% trader consensus for a GOP general-election victory on November 3. Democrats view the vacancy as a potential opening in northern Nevada, yet the lack of nonpartisan polling and the seat's structural Republican tilt limit their implied chances to 23.5%. Upcoming primary results and any late endorsements could further clarify nominee strength before the general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNV -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
NV -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$13,676 वॉल्यूम
$13,676 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
74%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
24%
$13,676 वॉल्यूम
$13,676 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$10,317 वॉल्यूम
74%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$3,359 वॉल्यूम
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District, following incumbent Republican Mark Amodei's February 2026 retirement announcement, has drawn a crowded Republican primary field of 13 candidates ahead of the June 9 contest, while 11 Democrats have entered their primary. The district's R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 19-point margin in 2024, underpin the 73.5% trader consensus for a GOP general-election victory on November 3. Democrats view the vacancy as a potential opening in northern Nevada, yet the lack of nonpartisan polling and the seat's structural Republican tilt limit their implied chances to 23.5%. Upcoming primary results and any late endorsements could further clarify nominee strength before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,676समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District, following incumbent Republican Mark Amodei's February 2026 retirement announcement, has drawn a crowded Republican primary field of 13 candidates ahead of the June 9 contest, while 11 Democrats have entered their primary. The district's R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 19-point margin in 2024, underpin the 73.5% trader consensus for a GOP general-election victory on November 3. Democrats view the vacancy as a potential opening in northern Nevada, yet the lack of nonpartisan polling and the seat's structural Republican tilt limit their implied chances to 23.5%. Upcoming primary results and any late endorsements could further clarify nominee strength before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$13,676समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District, following incumbent Republican Mark Amodei's February 2026 retirement announcement, has drawn a crowded Republican primary field of 13 candidates ahead of the June 9 contest, while 11 Democrats have entered their primary. The district's R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 19-point margin in 2024, underpin the 73.5% trader consensus for a GOP general-election victory on November 3. Democrats view the vacancy as a potential opening in northern Nevada, yet the lack of nonpartisan polling and the seat's structural Republican tilt limit their implied chances to 23.5%. Upcoming primary results and any late endorsements could further clarify nominee strength before the general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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